Football · Thailand Division 3 · 14/11, 09:30

Prediction: Royal Navy vs Marines FC Sattahip

Team pages: Royal Navy · Marines FC Sattahip

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Royal Navy1.92

Marines FC Sattahip0.83

1X2

63% 22% 15%

Royal Navy Draw Marines FC Sattahip

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Royal Navy 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLLWWW

Marines FC Sattahip 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWDLLL

Head-to-head

Royal Navy 6–0 Marines FC Sattahip (6 last)

Royal Navy3-0Marines FC Sattahip
Marines FC Sattahip0-1Royal Navy
Marines FC Sattahip0-4Royal Navy
Royal Navy5-0Marines FC Sattahip
Royal Navy2-1Marines FC Sattahip
Royal Navy8-1Marines FC Sattahip

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Royal Navy 1543 · Marines FC Sattahip 1450

	Royal Navy	Draw	Marines FC Sattahip
Our model	62%	23%	15%
Market	63%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Royal Navy (rating 1543 vs 1450).
H2H favours Royal Navy: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Royal Navy	Marines FC Sattahip
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.2	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.20

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:45 +18’	1.42	4.20	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Royal Navy 6–0–0 Marines FC Sattahip

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/02/26 Thailand Division 3	Royal Navy	3-0 HT 1-0	Marines FC Sattahip
18/10/25 Thailand Division 3	Marines FC Sattahip	0-1 HT 0-1	Royal Navy
09/03/25 Thailand Division 3	Marines FC Sattahip	0-4 HT 0-2	Royal Navy
15/12/24 Thailand Division 3 Cup	Royal Navy	5-0 HT 1-0	Marines FC Sattahip
10/11/24 Thailand Division 3	Royal Navy	2-1 HT 0-1	Marines FC Sattahip
20/01/24 Thailand Division 3	Royal Navy	8-1 HT 5-0	Marines FC Sattahip

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Royal Navy	Marines FC Sattahip
Burapha United	1-0 W	1-4 L
Customs United	2-1 W	1-2 L
Pluak Daeng United	3-2 W	1-2 L
Chachoengsao FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
BFB Pattaya City	1-2 L	2-2 D
Fleet FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Royal Navy (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Royal Navy

DWWWLLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
24/10	Customs United Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
11/10	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	1-1	3-2	10	4	W
03/10	Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
19/09	BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
14/03	Fleet FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-2	5	15	L
22/02	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
14/02	Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
10/02	Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
01/02	ACDC FC Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-2	8	3	D

Marines FC Sattahip

DLLDWWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Customs United Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-2	7	7	L
11/10	Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
04/10	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-2	4	8	L
08/03	BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3	2-0	2-2	4	5	D
28/02	Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
21/02	Padriew City Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
15/02	Customs United Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
10/02	Royal Navy Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
31/01	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
24/01	Fleet FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Royal Navy vs Marines FC Sattahip?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Royal Navy win (63%). Probabilities: Royal Navy 63%, draw 22%, Marines FC Sattahip 15%.

How many goals are expected in Royal Navy vs Marines FC Sattahip?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Royal Navy 1.92 · Marines FC Sattahip 0.83), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Royal Navy vs Marines FC Sattahip?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.