Football · Japan Regional League · 14/11, 02:45

Prediction: FC Basara Hyogo vs Aries Toshima FC

Team pages: FC Basara Hyogo · Aries Toshima FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
FC Basara Hyogo1.34
Aries Toshima FC1.23
1X2
39% 27% 34%
FC Basara Hyogo Draw Aries Toshima FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Basara Hyogo 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
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Aries Toshima FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLLWWWWDDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Basara Hyogo 1573 · Aries Toshima FC 1560
FC Basara HyogoDrawAries Toshima FC
Our model38%29%33%
Market40%26%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Basara HyogoAries Toshima FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.71.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.41 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.21.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 0.11.6 / 0.1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Basara Hyogo

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/11 Fukui United
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 63 L
20/09 Velago Ikoma
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 72 W
20/09 Ikoma FC Nara
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 73 W
12/09 Asuka FC
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-0 32 W
05/09 Arterivo Wakayama
Japan Regional League
1-2 2-2 55 D
30/08 Ococias Kyoto AC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 41 W
23/08 Cento Cuore Harima
Japan Regional League
2-0 2-0 12 W
05/07 AS Laranja Kyoto
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 21 D
28/06 Moriyama Samurai
Japan Regional League
3-1 4-1 40 W
14/06 Velago Ikoma
Japan Regional League
1-1 3-2 32 W

Aries Toshima FC

WLLWWWWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/11 Fukuyama City FC
Japan Regional League
2-1 4-1 53 W
27/09 Nihon University
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 41 D
22/09 Toin Yokohama University
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 31 D
13/09 EDO ALL United
Japan Regional League
3-0 3-1 10 W
06/09 Nankatsu SC
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-1 15 W
30/08 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-0 11 W
16/08 Toin Yokohama University
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-0 72 W
18/07 Shibuya City FC
Japan Regional League
0-1 1-2 –– L
12/07 Toho Titanium
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-1 –– L
05/07 Nihon University
Japan Regional League
2-0 4-1 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Basara Hyogo vs Aries Toshima FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Basara Hyogo win (39%). Probabilities: FC Basara Hyogo 39%, draw 27%, Aries Toshima FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in FC Basara Hyogo vs Aries Toshima FC?

The model expects 2.57 goals (FC Basara Hyogo 1.34 · Aries Toshima FC 1.23), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Basara Hyogo vs Aries Toshima FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.