Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 14:30
Prediction: ASD Trastevere vs Cynthialbalonga
Team pages: ASD Trastevere · Cynthialbalonga
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
ASD Trastevere1.63
Cynthialbalonga1.39
1X2
ASD Trastevere
Draw
Cynthialbalonga
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Trastevere
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Cynthialbalonga
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASD Trastevere
3–1–2
Cynthialbalonga
(6 last)
- ASD Trastevere2-0Cynthialbalonga
- ASD Trastevere3-0Cynthialbalonga
- Cynthialbalonga2-2ASD Trastevere
- Cynthialbalonga2-0ASD Trastevere
- ASD Trastevere3-2Cynthialbalonga
- Cynthialbalonga5-1ASD Trastevere
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASD Trastevere 1551 · Cynthialbalonga 1487
| ASD Trastevere | Draw | Cynthialbalonga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 26% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASD Trastevere (rating 1551 vs 1487).
- H2H favours ASD Trastevere: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Trastevere | Cynthialbalonga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 25/75/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.1 | 1.8 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Trastevere 3–1–2 Cynthialbalonga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Italy Serie D Play-Offs | ASD Trastevere | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cynthialbalonga |
| 26/04/26 Italy Serie D | ASD Trastevere | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cynthialbalonga |
| 14/12/25 Italy Serie D | Cynthialbalonga | 2-2 | ASD Trastevere |
| 30/03/25 Italy Serie D | Cynthialbalonga | 2-0 | ASD Trastevere |
| 17/11/24 Italy Serie D | ASD Trastevere | 3-2 | Cynthialbalonga |
| 14/04/24 Italy Serie D | Cynthialbalonga | 5-1 | ASD Trastevere |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Città di Gela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Siracusa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | ASD Licata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Nissa FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Modica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Trapani | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | ASD CastrumFavara | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASD Trastevere | Cynthialbalonga |
|---|---|---|
| Anzio Calcio 1924 | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Certosa Vigor Campagnano | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Monastir Kosmoto | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| ASD Aranova | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Citta di Anagni | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: ASD Trastevere (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Trastevere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Anzio Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/11 | Certosa Vigor Campagnano Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/10 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Sarrabus Ogliastra Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | ASD Aranova Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Citta di Anagni Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 27/09 | Atletico Lodigiani Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Paganese Italy Serie D |
1-4 | 1-6 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/09 | Polisportiva Ossese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
Cynthialbalonga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/11 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 25/10 | Unipomezia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Budoni Italy Serie D |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Certosa Vigor Campagnano Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/10 | Anzio Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Sarrabus Ogliastra Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | ASD Aranova Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Citta di Anagni Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Trastevere vs Cynthialbalonga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Trastevere win (42%). Probabilities: ASD Trastevere 42%, draw 27%, Cynthialbalonga 31%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Trastevere vs Cynthialbalonga?
The model expects 3.02 goals (ASD Trastevere 1.63 · Cynthialbalonga 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Trastevere vs Cynthialbalonga?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.