Football · Italy Serie D · 14/11, 15:00
Prediction: ASD Brian Lignano vs Cjarlins Muzane
Team pages: ASD Brian Lignano · Cjarlins Muzane
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
ASD Brian Lignano0.92
Cjarlins Muzane1.78
1X2
ASD Brian Lignano
Draw
Cjarlins Muzane
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Brian Lignano
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Cjarlins Muzane
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASD Brian Lignano
1–3–2
Cjarlins Muzane
(6 last)
- Cjarlins Muzane1-1ASD Brian Lignano
- ASD Brian Lignano2-0Cjarlins Muzane
- ASD Brian Lignano1-1Cjarlins Muzane
- Cjarlins Muzane1-0ASD Brian Lignano
- Cjarlins Muzane1-1ASD Brian Lignano
- ASD Brian Lignano0-1Cjarlins Muzane
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASD Brian Lignano 1455 · Cjarlins Muzane 1571
| ASD Brian Lignano | Draw | Cjarlins Muzane | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| Market | 19% | 24% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cjarlins Muzane (rating 1455 vs 1571).
- H2H favours Cjarlins Muzane: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Brian Lignano | Cjarlins Muzane | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/0/33% | 67/33/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 7.3 | 3.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Brian Lignano 1–3–2 Cjarlins Muzane
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/26 Italy Serie D Cup | Cjarlins Muzane | 1-1 | ASD Brian Lignano |
| 18/01/26 Italy Serie D | ASD Brian Lignano | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cjarlins Muzane |
| 08/10/25 Italy Serie D Cup | ASD Brian Lignano | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cjarlins Muzane |
| 20/09/25 Italy Serie D | Cjarlins Muzane | 1-0 | ASD Brian Lignano |
| 15/02/25 Italy Serie D | Cjarlins Muzane | 1-1 | ASD Brian Lignano |
| 19/10/24 Italy Serie D | ASD Brian Lignano | 0-1 | Cjarlins Muzane |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Città di Gela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Siracusa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | ASD Licata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Nissa FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Modica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Trapani | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | ASD CastrumFavara | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASD Brian Lignano | Cjarlins Muzane |
|---|---|---|
| FCD Conegliano | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Campodarsego | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Clodiense | 3-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Virtus Bolzano | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cjarlins Muzane (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Brian Lignano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | FCD Conegliano Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/11 | Campodarsego Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | FC Obermais Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Unione La Rocca Altavilla Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Bassano Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Luparense FC Italy Serie D |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Calvi Noale Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Clodiense Italy Serie D |
– | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | Sandona 1922 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Virtus Bolzano Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
Cjarlins Muzane
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Clodiense Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/11 | Calcio Schio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | Virtus Bolzano Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | AC Mestre Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Legnago Salus Italy Serie D |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Triestina Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Este Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/09 | FCD Conegliano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Campodarsego Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Brian Lignano vs Cjarlins Muzane?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cjarlins Muzane win (57%). Probabilities: ASD Brian Lignano 19%, draw 24%, Cjarlins Muzane 57%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Brian Lignano vs Cjarlins Muzane?
The model expects 2.71 goals (ASD Brian Lignano 0.92 · Cjarlins Muzane 1.78), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Brian Lignano vs Cjarlins Muzane?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.