Football · Italy Serie D · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: Afragolese 1944 vs Monastir Kosmoto

Team pages: Afragolese 1944 · Monastir Kosmoto

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Afragolese 19441.85
Monastir Kosmoto1.31
1X2
49% 26% 26%
Afragolese 1944 Draw Monastir Kosmoto
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Afragolese 1944 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DDWLLDWDWD
Monastir Kosmoto 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWLDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Afragolese 1944 1514 · Monastir Kosmoto 1495
Afragolese 1944DrawMonastir Kosmoto
Our model49%25%26%
Market48%26%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Afragolese 1944Monastir Kosmoto
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.82.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.41.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 3.41.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 03.3 / 0.1

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 11821 28726
2 Sambiase 11821 19826
3 Vibonese 11731 241024
4 Calcio Avola 1949 11614 171619
5 Milazzo 11614 141319
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 11533 161018
7 Igea Virtus 11533 252218
8 Città di Gela 11443 13915
9 Siracusa 11632 181014
10 ASD Licata 11425 112214
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 10424 131214
12 Nissa FC 11335 161512
13 Modica 10316 121310
14 Trapani 11425 9149
15 Vigor Lamezia 11227 11218
16 ASD CastrumFavara 11227 12198
17 ASD Ragusa 11038 9233
18 Enna Calcio 11038 4273

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAfragolese 1944Monastir Kosmoto
Cynthialbalonga 0-0 D 2-2 D
ASD Aranova 4-1 W 2-1 W
Anzio Calcio 1924 0-0 D 1-3 L
Atletico Lodigiani 4-0 W 5-1 W
Sarnese 1-1 D 2-5 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Afragolese 1944 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Afragolese 1944

DDWLLDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Cynthialbalonga
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
31/10 ASD Aranova
Italy Serie D
3-0 4-1 63 W
25/10 Anzio Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
17/10 Atletico Lodigiani
Italy Serie D
– 4-0 –– W
11/10 Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
04/10 Polisportiva Ossese
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 36 L
27/09 Citta di Anagni
Italy Serie D
– 0-4 –– L
20/09 US Venafro
Italy Serie D
0-0 4-0 33 W
16/09 Paganese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 21 D
12/09 Sarnese
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 35 D

Monastir Kosmoto

WLWDWWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Sarnese
Italy Serie D
0-2 2-5 63 L
01/11 Unipomezia
Italy Serie D
– 2-4 –– L
24/10 ASD Trastevere
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-2 33 D
18/10 Certosa Vigor Campagnano
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
11/10 USD Latte Dolce
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-1 32 W
04/10 Budoni
Italy Serie D
– 5-1 –– W
27/09 Cynthialbalonga
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 62 D
20/09 ASD Aranova
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 44 W
16/09 Anzio Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-3 65 L
12/09 Atletico Lodigiani
Italy Serie D
2-0 5-1 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Afragolese 1944 vs Monastir Kosmoto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Afragolese 1944 win (49%). Probabilities: Afragolese 1944 49%, draw 26%, Monastir Kosmoto 26%.

How many goals are expected in Afragolese 1944 vs Monastir Kosmoto?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Afragolese 1944 1.85 · Monastir Kosmoto 1.31), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Afragolese 1944 vs Monastir Kosmoto?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.