Football · Burkina Faso League · 15/11, 16:30

Prediction: Sonabel vs US Forces Armees

Team pages: Sonabel · US Forces Armees

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.61Total
Sonabel0.62
US Forces Armees1
1X2
22% 34% 44%
Sonabel Draw US Forces Armees
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Sonabel 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLWWLLLD
US Forces Armees 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDDWWLWWDD
Head-to-head
Sonabel 1–4–1 US Forces Armees (6 last)
  • Sonabel1-1US Forces Armees
  • US Forces Armees2-0Sonabel
  • US Forces Armees2-3Sonabel
  • US Forces Armees0-0Sonabel
  • Sonabel1-1US Forces Armees
  • US Forces Armees1-1Sonabel
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sonabel 1496 · US Forces Armees 1532
SonabelDrawUS Forces Armees
Our model21%37%42%
Market24%31%45%
Estimated total (ours) 1.61 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SonabelUS Forces Armees
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.80.9 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.63 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 03.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sonabel 1–4–1 US Forces Armees

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Burkina Faso League
Sonabel1-1
HT 1-0
US Forces Armees
24/11/25
Burkina Faso League
US Forces Armees2-0
HT 0-0
Sonabel
11/10/24
Burkina Faso League
US Forces Armees2-3
HT 2-2
Sonabel
09/05/24
Burkina Faso Cup
US Forces Armees0-0
HT 0-0
Sonabel
17/04/24
Burkina Faso League
Sonabel1-1
HT 1-0
US Forces Armees
10/01/24
Burkina Faso League
US Forces Armees1-1
HT 1-1
Sonabel

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSonabelUS Forces Armees
ASF Bolo Dioulasso 0-1 L 0-0 D
Rahimo FC 0-1 L 0-1 L
Vitesse FC 0-1 L 0-0 D
US Comoe 2-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: US Forces Armees (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sonabel

LWWLWWLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 AS Maya
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 62 D
01/11 ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-1 72 L
24/10 Rahimo FC
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-1 54 L
18/10 Vitesse FC
Burkina Faso League
0-1 0-1 93 L
10/10 Sporting Cascades
Burkina Faso League
1-0 3-0 54 W
05/10 US Comoe
Burkina Faso League
2-0 2-0 54 W
26/09 FocuSport FC
Burkina Faso League
0-1 2-3 54 L
16/05 KOZAF
Burkina Faso League
1-0 2-0 53 W
03/05 ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Burkina Faso League
2-0 2-0 43 W
26/04 AS Douanes Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso League
0-2 1-2 59 L

US Forces Armees

LDDWWLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 54 D
31/10 Vitesse FC
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 62 D
24/10 US Comoe
Burkina Faso League
1-0 1-0 59 W
17/10 Majestic FC
Burkina Faso League
0-0 1-0 94 W
12/10 ASFA-Yennenga
Burkina Faso League
1-2 1-2 35 L
04/10 RC Kadiogo
Burkina Faso League
2-0 2-0 72 W
27/09 Salitas FC
Burkina Faso League
2-0 3-0 13 W
03/05 RC Kadiogo
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 42 D
26/04 Majestic FC
Burkina Faso League
0-0 1-1 55 D
19/04 Rahimo FC
Burkina Faso League
0-1 0-1 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sonabel vs US Forces Armees?

According to our model, the most likely result is an US Forces Armees win (44%). Probabilities: Sonabel 22%, draw 34%, US Forces Armees 44%.

How many goals are expected in Sonabel vs US Forces Armees?

The model expects 1.61 goals (Sonabel 0.62 · US Forces Armees 1), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sonabel vs US Forces Armees?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.