Football · Burkina Faso League · 15/11, 16:30

Prediction: Salitas FC vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Team pages: Salitas FC · ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Salitas FC1.08

ASF Bolo Dioulasso1.53

1X2

25% 30% 46%

Salitas FC Draw ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Salitas FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLLLLL

ASF Bolo Dioulasso 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLWLWD

Head-to-head

Salitas FC 2–2–2 ASF Bolo Dioulasso (6 last)

Salitas FC2-2ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Salitas FC1-2ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Salitas FC0-1ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Salitas FC2-0ASF Bolo Dioulasso
ASF Bolo Dioulasso0-2Salitas FC
Salitas FC1-1ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salitas FC 1430 · ASF Bolo Dioulasso 1462

	Salitas FC	Draw	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Our model	26%	28%	47%
Market	24%	31%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Salitas FC	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.5	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.2	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	2.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.75

X2.90

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.05

2 (-0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:09 +1’	3.75	2.90	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Salitas FC 2–2–2 ASF Bolo Dioulasso

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 Burkina Faso League	Salitas FC	2-2 HT 0-1	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
28/04/25 Burkina Faso League	Salitas FC	1-2 HT 0-1	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
06/11/23 Burkina Faso League	Salitas FC	0-1 HT 0-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
28/04/23 Burkina Faso League	Salitas FC	2-0 HT 0-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
02/04/22 Burkina Faso League	ASF Bolo Dioulasso	0-2 HT 0-0	Salitas FC
13/11/21 Burkina Faso League	Salitas FC	1-1 HT 1-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Salitas FC	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Real du Faso	1-3 L	0-2 L
US Forces Armees	0-3 L	0-0 D
Vitesse FC	1-3 L	0-2 L
RC Kadiogo	1-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ASF Bolo Dioulasso (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salitas FC

WLLWDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Rahimo FC Burkina Faso League	1-1	1-3	7	6	L
18/10	AS Douanes Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	0-1	1-4	5	3	L
09/10	CFFEB Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
02/10	Real du Faso Burkina Faso League	0-1	1-3	2	1	L
27/09	US Forces Armees Burkina Faso League	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
20/09	ASF Bolo Dioulasso Burkina Faso League	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
03/05	AS Douanes Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
26/04	Vitesse FC Burkina Faso League	1-3	1-3	3	5	L
19/04	RC Kadiogo Burkina Faso League	0-3	1-4	2	7	L
10/04	Sporting Cascades Burkina Faso League	0-0	2-1	3	5	W

ASF Bolo Dioulasso

LLDWLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	US Forces Armees Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
01/11	Sonabel Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/10	Vitesse FC Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
17/10	US Comoe Burkina Faso League	2-1	4-2	2	4	W
09/10	Majestic FC Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
03/10	ASFA-Yennenga Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
27/09	RC Kadiogo Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
20/09	Salitas FC Burkina Faso League	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
03/05	Sonabel Burkina Faso League	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
26/04	Real du Faso Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-2	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salitas FC vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ASF Bolo Dioulasso win (46%). Probabilities: Salitas FC 25%, draw 30%, ASF Bolo Dioulasso 46%.

How many goals are expected in Salitas FC vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Salitas FC 1.08 · ASF Bolo Dioulasso 1.53), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Salitas FC vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.