Football · South Africa National Div 2 · 13/11, 11:00

Prediction: Orlando Pirates B FC vs Mabopane JM FC

Team pages: Orlando Pirates B FC · Mabopane JM FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Orlando Pirates B FC1.26

Mabopane JM FC1.26

1X2

36% 29% 36%

Orlando Pirates B FC Draw Mabopane JM FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Orlando Pirates B FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLWDWL

Mabopane JM FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWLDWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Orlando Pirates B FC 1–0 Mabopane JM FC (1 last)

Orlando Pirates B FC1-0Mabopane JM FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orlando Pirates B FC 1519 · Mabopane JM FC 1541

	Orlando Pirates B FC	Draw	Mabopane JM FC
Our model	35%	29%	35%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orlando Pirates B FC	Mabopane JM FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	1.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:47 +14’	2.50	3.20	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando Pirates B FC 1–0–0 Mabopane JM FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 South Africa National Div 2	Orlando Pirates B FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Mabopane JM FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orlando Pirates B FC	Mabopane JM FC
Wits University	2-1 W	1-0 W
Dube Continental FC	2-2 D	2-0 W
Young Pirates FC	2-0 W	2-0 W
Eersterust Rams FC	2-3 L	2-2 D
Tembisa Hollywood Thunder FC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Mabopane JM FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orlando Pirates B FC

WDLWWLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Doornkop Students South Africa National Div 2	0-2	1-3	7	5	L
30/10	Wits University South Africa National Div 2	1-0	2-1	1	11	W
16/10	Dube Continental FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	2-2	11	2	D
27/02	JBM FC South Africa National Div 2	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
20/02	NB La Masia FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
13/02	Mabopane JM FC South Africa National Div 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
08/02	Young Pirates FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
31/01	Eersterust Rams FC South Africa National Div 2	1-2	2-3	9	3	L
23/01	Tembisa Hollywood Thunder FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
09/01	Wits University South Africa National Div 2	0-0	3-2	6	1	W

Mabopane JM FC

LWLDWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Wits University South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
24/10	Dube Continental FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	2-0	1	3	W
29/03	Young Pirates FC South Africa National Div 2	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
24/03	Eersterust Rams FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	2-2	6	2	D
21/03	Tembisa Hollywood Thunder FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	0-0	0	1	D
04/03	Jomo Cosmos South Africa National Div 2	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
21/02	Mike-1-Stars FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
13/02	Orlando Pirates B FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
31/01	Tshwane South College FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
24/01	University of Johannesburg FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-2	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orlando Pirates B FC vs Mabopane JM FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando Pirates B FC win (36%). Probabilities: Orlando Pirates B FC 36%, draw 29%, Mabopane JM FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Orlando Pirates B FC vs Mabopane JM FC?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Orlando Pirates B FC 1.26 · Mabopane JM FC 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Orlando Pirates B FC vs Mabopane JM FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.