Football · South Africa National Div 2 · 13/11, 17:00

Prediction: TUT FC vs Leruma United

Team pages: TUT FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

TUT FC1.68

Leruma United0.68

1X2

61% 24% 15%

TUT FC Draw Leruma United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

TUT FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWDDLLDL

Leruma United 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLLLLL

Head-to-head

TUT FC 0–2–0 Leruma United (2 last)

TUT FC0-0Leruma United
Leruma United0-0TUT FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TUT FC 1473 · Leruma United 1416

	TUT FC	Draw	Leruma United
Our model	60%	26%	14%
Market	62%	22%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TUT FC (rating 1473 vs 1416).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TUT FC	Leruma United
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	0.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3	1.8 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.10

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
12:55 +6’	1.44	4.10	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TUT FC 0–2–0 Leruma United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 South Africa National Div 2	TUT FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Leruma United
26/11/25 South Africa National Div 2	Leruma United	0-0 HT 0-0	TUT FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TUT FC	Leruma United
Young Pirates FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Soweto Super United FC	1-4 L	0-2 L
University of Johannesburg FC	1-1 D	0-3 L
Dube Continental FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Dinoko City FC	4-1 W	0-5 L
Wits University	0-0 D	0-1 L
Free Agents FC	1-1 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: TUT FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TUT FC

DDWWDDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Mike-1-Stars FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
23/10	Young Pirates FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
18/04	Soweto Super United FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	1-4	7	1	L
15/04	NB La Masia FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	0-2	4	0	L
08/04	University of Johannesburg FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	1-1	0	1	D
27/03	Dube Continental FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
24/03	JBM FC South Africa National Div 2	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
27/02	Dinoko City FC South Africa National Div 2	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
21/02	Wits University South Africa National Div 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
13/02	Free Agents FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-1	4	2	D

Leruma United

DDLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Tembisa Destroyers FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
24/10	Jomo Cosmos South Africa National Div 2	1-2	1-3	3	5	L
02/05	Wits University South Africa National Div 2	0-1	0-1	0	5	L
25/04	Free Agents FC South Africa National Div 2	0-3	1-4	0	0	L
11/04	Dinoko City FC South Africa National Div 2	0-3	0-5	6	0	L
24/03	Soweto Super United FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
21/03	Tshwane South College FC South Africa National Div 2	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
17/03	University of Johannesburg FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
13/03	Dube Continental FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-1	2	0	D
21/02	Young Pirates FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	1-1	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TUT FC vs Leruma United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TUT FC win (61%). Probabilities: TUT FC 61%, draw 24%, Leruma United 15%.

How many goals are expected in TUT FC vs Leruma United?

The model expects 2.35 goals (TUT FC 1.68 · Leruma United 0.68), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in TUT FC vs Leruma United?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.