Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 14/11, 13:00
Prediction: FK Drina Zvornik vs FC Velez Nevesinje
Team pages: FK Drina Zvornik · FC Velez Nevesinje
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.1Total
FK Drina Zvornik3.04
FC Velez Nevesinje1.05
1X2
FK Drina Zvornik
Draw
FC Velez Nevesinje
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Drina Zvornik
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FC Velez Nevesinje
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Drina Zvornik
5–1
FC Velez Nevesinje
(6 last)
- FC Velez Nevesinje0-8FK Drina Zvornik
- FC Velez Nevesinje1-2FK Drina Zvornik
- FK Drina Zvornik0-1FC Velez Nevesinje
- FK Drina Zvornik4-1FC Velez Nevesinje
- FC Velez Nevesinje0-2FK Drina Zvornik
- FK Drina Zvornik3-1FC Velez Nevesinje
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Drina Zvornik 1529 · FC Velez Nevesinje 1405
| FK Drina Zvornik | Draw | FC Velez Nevesinje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 77% | 13% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.1 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Drina Zvornik (rating 1529 vs 1405).
- H2H favours FK Drina Zvornik: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Drina Zvornik | FC Velez Nevesinje | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/38/25% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.9 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Drina Zvornik 5–0–1 FC Velez Nevesinje
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FC Velez Nevesinje | 0-8 HT 0-4 | FK Drina Zvornik |
| 08/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FC Velez Nevesinje | 1-2 | FK Drina Zvornik |
| 27/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Drina Zvornik | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Velez Nevesinje |
| 19/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Drina Zvornik | 4-1 HT 3-1 | FC Velez Nevesinje |
| 28/09/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FC Velez Nevesinje | 0-2 | FK Drina Zvornik |
| 06/04/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Drina Zvornik | 3-1 | FC Velez Nevesinje |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leotar | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 6 | 39 |
| 2 | FK Laktasi | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 48 | 11 | 37 |
| 3 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Drina Zvornik | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 22 |
| 7 | FK Majevica Lopare | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 22 |
| 8 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 20 |
| 9 | Romanija Pale | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 31 | 19 |
| 10 | Slavija Sarajevo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Omarska | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 16 |
| 12 | Sutjeska Foca | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 38 | 12 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Drina Zvornik | FC Velez Nevesinje |
|---|---|---|
| Leotar | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Romanija Pale | 3-3 D | 2-3 L |
| FK Majevica Lopare | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| FK Potkozarje | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Famos Vojkovici | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Zvijezda 09 | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Kozara Gradiska | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FK Laktasi | 1-2 L | 1-8 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Drina Zvornik (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Drina Zvornik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/10 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 24/10 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/10 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 27/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 23/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
FC Velez Nevesinje
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 31/10 | Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-8 | – | – | L |
| 21/10 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/09 | Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Drina Zvornik vs FC Velez Nevesinje?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Drina Zvornik win (77%). Probabilities: FK Drina Zvornik 77%, draw 13%, FC Velez Nevesinje 10%.
How many goals are expected in FK Drina Zvornik vs FC Velez Nevesinje?
The model expects 4.1 goals (FK Drina Zvornik 3.04 · FC Velez Nevesinje 1.05), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Drina Zvornik vs FC Velez Nevesinje?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.