Football · Thailand Division 3 · 12/11, 11:00

Prediction: Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Korat City FC

Team pages: Khonkaen Mordindang FC · Korat City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Khonkaen Mordindang FC0.98

Korat City FC1.38

1X2

26% 30% 45%

Khonkaen Mordindang FC Draw Korat City FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Khonkaen Mordindang FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLDWLW

Korat City FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWDWDL

Head-to-head

Khonkaen Mordindang FC 2–4 Korat City FC (6 last)

Khonkaen Mordindang FC1-2Korat City FC
Korat City FC5-2Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Korat City FC2-1Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC1-0Korat City FC
Korat City FC3-2Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC1-0Korat City FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Khonkaen Mordindang FC 1458 · Korat City FC 1540

	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	Draw	Korat City FC
Our model	26%	30%	45%
Market	26%	30%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Korat City FC (rating 1458 vs 1540).
H2H favours Korat City FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	Korat City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.2	1.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.00

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:53 +9’	3.50	3.00	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Khonkaen Mordindang FC 2–0–4 Korat City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/01/26 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Korat City FC
21/09/25 Thailand Division 3	Korat City FC	5-2 HT 1-1	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
19/01/25 Thailand Division 3	Korat City FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
22/09/24 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Korat City FC
03/02/24 Thailand Division 3	Korat City FC	3-2 HT 1-0	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
19/11/23 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Korat City FC

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	Korat City FC
Udon United	2-4 L	1-0 W
Roi-Et PB United	1-0 W	2-0 W
Yasothon FC	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Korat City FC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Khonkaen Mordindang FC

WLDLLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Esan Fighter FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
24/10	Udon United Thailand Division 3	2-1	2-4	7	3	L
10/10	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
04/10	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
26/09	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
07/03	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
28/02	Udon United Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
11/02	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
31/01	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-3	0	2	L
24/01	Surin Khongcheemoon FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	5	7	W

Korat City FC

LWLWDWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Pitchayabundit College Thailand Division 3	0-3	0-4	4	2	L
25/10	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
12/10	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	4	10	W
03/10	Udon Banjan United Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
26/09	Surin City FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
18/09	Ubon Krua Napat FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
15/03	Udon United Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
08/03	Surin City FC Thailand Division 3	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
28/02	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	0	2	W
14/02	Udon Banjan United Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-2	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Korat City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Korat City FC win (45%). Probabilities: Khonkaen Mordindang FC 26%, draw 30%, Korat City FC 45%.

How many goals are expected in Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Korat City FC?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Khonkaen Mordindang FC 0.98 · Korat City FC 1.38), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Korat City FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.