Football · Colombia Primera A · 14/11, 21:30

Prediction: Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali

Team pages: Deportivo Pereira · America de Cali

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Deportivo Pereira1.01

America de Cali1.35

1X2

27% 30% 43%

Deportivo Pereira Draw America de Cali

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Pereira 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDDWDWLL

America de Cali 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWLDWWDD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Pereira 2–4 America de Cali (6 last)

America de Cali4-1Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali1-0Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira2-1America de Cali
America de Cali2-0Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali1-0Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira2-0America de Cali

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours America de Cali (rating 1451 vs 1557).
H2H favours America de Cali: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Pereira	America de Cali
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.5	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.6	4.6 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.84

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.31 → 4.31	Pinn 4.31
X	3.45 → 3.45	Pinn 3.45
2	1.81 → 1.81	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:15 +5’	4.31	3.45	1.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Pereira 2–0–4 America de Cali

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/09/26 Colombia Cup	America de Cali	4-1 HT 3-1	Deportivo Pereira
04/05/26 Colombia Primera A	America de Cali	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Pereira
15/08/25 Colombia Primera A	Deportivo Pereira	2-1 HT 1-0	America de Cali
02/03/25 Colombia Primera A	America de Cali	2-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Pereira
16/09/24 Colombia Primera A	America de Cali	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Pereira
03/03/24 Colombia Primera A	Deportivo Pereira	2-0 HT 1-0	America de Cali

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional Medellin	18	12	3	3	37	17	39
2	America de Cali	18	10	6	2	31	12	36
3	Deportivo Cali	18	9	7	2	26	10	34
4	Atletico Bucaramanga	18	8	8	2	30	17	32
5	Independiente Santa Fe	18	9	4	5	28	18	31
6	Independiente Medellin	18	9	2	7	28	25	29
7	Millonarios	18	6	9	3	25	16	27
8	Once Caldas	18	7	6	5	22	18	27
9	Deportes Tolima	18	7	5	6	23	21	26
10	Aguilas Doradas	18	6	7	5	22	21	25
11	Cucuta Deportivo	18	7	3	8	19	26	24
12	Llaneros	18	7	2	9	21	24	23
13	Internacional de Bogota	18	4	8	6	22	25	20
14	Junior	18	4	7	7	25	27	19
15	Boyaca Chico	18	5	4	9	15	29	19
16	Alianza	18	5	3	10	18	31	18
17	Deportivo Pereira	18	3	8	7	16	26	17
18	Deportivo Pasto	18	4	3	11	13	29	15
19	Jaguares de Cordoba	18	3	4	11	17	35	13
20	Fortaleza CEIF	18	1	9	8	17	28	12

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Pereira	America de Cali
Deportes Tolima	1-3 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Cali	0-0 D	0-0 D
Cucuta Deportivo	0-4 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: America de Cali (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Pereira

DLLDDWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-2	3-4	1	8	L
03/11	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	1-3	1-3	7	5	L
30/10	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
25/10	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	0	7	D
20/10	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
14/10	Junior Colombia Primera A	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
10/10	Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
04/10	Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A	0-3	0-4	0	10	L
29/09	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	7	11	L
26/09	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	5	10	D

America de Cali

LDWWLDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
05/11	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
30/10	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
25/10	Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
18/10	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
12/10	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
05/10	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
24/09	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-0	11	7	W
21/09	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
15/09	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-1	3	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali?

According to our model, the most likely result is an America de Cali win (43%). Probabilities: Deportivo Pereira 27%, draw 30%, America de Cali 43%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Deportivo Pereira 1.01 · America de Cali 1.35), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.