Football · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · 12/11, 21:30

Prediction: AD Izalco vs AD Forfut

Team pages: AD Izalco · AD Forfut

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

AD Izalco2.22

AD Forfut1.2

1X2

59% 22% 19%

AD Izalco Draw AD Forfut

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Izalco 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDLLWD

AD Forfut 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWDWL

Head-to-head

AD Izalco 1–0 AD Forfut (1 last)

AD Forfut2-4AD Izalco

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Izalco 1536 · AD Forfut 1465

	AD Izalco	Draw	AD Forfut
Our model	59%	22%	19%
Market	59%	22%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AD Izalco (rating 1536 vs 1465).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Izalco	AD Forfut
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5	2.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.6	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.00 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:04 +1’	1.50	4.00	5.00
22:53 +8’	1.50	4.00	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Izalco 1–0–0 AD Forfut

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/09/26 El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	AD Forfut	2-4	AD Izalco

Standings · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · Apertura, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Once Municipal	18	12	3	3	46	25	39
2	AD Izalco	15	9	3	3	28	20	30
3	CD El Roble	16	8	5	3	20	12	29
4	CD Marte Soyapango	17	8	4	5	31	22	28
5	UES	15	8	4	3	28	21	28
6	Nacional FC de Sonsonate	16	6	4	6	16	14	22
7	Once Lobos Chalchuapa	16	6	4	6	22	25	22
8	AD Forfut	16	5	3	8	27	29	18
9	CD Adet Aruba	18	4	6	8	17	21	18
10	AD Academia BP	17	4	4	9	25	40	16
11	CD Vendaval	18	2	5	11	15	37	11
12	CD Fuerte Aguilares	16	1	7	8	16	25	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Izalco	AD Forfut
CD Marte Soyapango	2-2 D	0-3 L
AD Academia BP	5-3 W	4-0 W
CD El Roble	0-2 L	2-4 L
Nacional FC de Sonsonate	0-0 D	0-2 L
Once Municipal	3-1 W	1-2 L
CD Vendaval	2-1 W	1-0 W
UES	2-2 D	2-1 W
CD Fuerte Aguilares	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: AD Izalco (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Izalco

WDWWWDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	CD Marte Soyapango El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	1-2	2-2	5	6	D
23/10	AD Academia BP El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	2-2	5-3	3	5	W
21/10	CD El Roble El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
17/10	CD Adet Aruba El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/10	Nacional FC de Sonsonate El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-0	–	–	D
02/10	Once Municipal El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	CD Vendaval El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
25/09	AD Forfut El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	4-2	–	–	W
22/09	UES El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	2-2	–	–	D
18/09	CD Fuerte Aguilares El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	2-0	2-0	9	5	W

AD Forfut

WLLLLLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Once Municipal El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/10	UES El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
25/10	CD Fuerte Aguilares El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-1	–	–	D
18/10	AD Academia BP El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	4-0	–	–	W
15/10	CD Marte Soyapango El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
10/10	CD El Roble El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	2-4	–	–	L
04/10	Nacional FC de Sonsonate El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/09	Once Lobos Chalchuapa El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
25/09	AD Izalco El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	2-4	–	–	L
22/09	CD Vendaval El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Izalco vs AD Forfut?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Izalco win (59%). Probabilities: AD Izalco 59%, draw 22%, AD Forfut 19%.

How many goals are expected in AD Izalco vs AD Forfut?

The model expects 3.42 goals (AD Izalco 2.22 · AD Forfut 1.2), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Izalco vs AD Forfut?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.