Football · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · 10/11, 22:00

Prediction: CD PIPIL vs CD Dragon

Team pages: CD PIPIL · CD Dragon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

CD PIPIL1.45

CD Dragon1.81

1X2

30% 25% 45%

CD PIPIL Draw CD Dragon

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CD PIPIL 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDWLDWWL

CD Dragon 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDDLWL

Head-to-head

CD PIPIL 3–1 CD Dragon (4 last)

CD PIPIL3-2CD Dragon
CD Dragon2-0CD PIPIL
CD PIPIL2-1CD Dragon
CD Dragon1-3CD PIPIL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD PIPIL 1500 · CD Dragon 1527

	CD PIPIL	Draw	CD Dragon
Our model	30%	25%	45%
Market	30%	25%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD PIPIL: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD PIPIL	CD Dragon
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	0.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 3.5	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7 / 1	4 / 1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.60

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:57 +4’	3.00	3.60	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD PIPIL 3–0–1 CD Dragon

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	CD PIPIL	3-2 HT 0-0	CD Dragon
22/02/26 El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	CD Dragon	2-0	CD PIPIL
11/10/25 El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	CD PIPIL	2-1	CD Dragon
24/08/25 El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	CD Dragon	1-3	CD PIPIL

Standings · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · Apertura, Center East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente San Vicente	15	11	2	2	46	13	35
2	CD Olimpico Litoral	19	10	5	4	48	28	35
3	CD San Marcos	16	8	4	4	28	26	28
4	CD Audaz	18	8	4	6	41	43	28
5	CD El Vencedor	17	7	5	5	35	23	26
6	CD Dragon	18	6	8	4	32	26	26
7	CD Sal y Mar	17	7	3	7	29	18	24
8	CD Neo Pipil	18	7	3	8	17	28	24
9	AD Tenancingo	16	6	3	7	23	31	21
10	AD San Rafael	18	4	6	8	30	27	18
11	AD SESA	16	5	3	8	42	52	18
12	Orion FC (Usulutan)	18	1	0	17	19	75	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD PIPIL	CD Dragon
CD Neo Pipil	1-2 L	2-0 W
CD Olimpico Litoral	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CD PIPIL

DLDDWLDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/04	CD Neo Pipil El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	CD Dragon El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	0-0	3-2	6	4	W
05/04	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	2-1	–	–	W
28/03	Sensunte Cabanas FC El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/03	CD Cruzeiro El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-3	–	–	L
14/03	CD Olimpico Litoral El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/03	CD Adet Aruba El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	3-3	–	–	D
28/02	CD Neo Pipil El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	0-0	1-1	1	12	D
22/02	CD Dragon El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-2	–	–	L
14/02	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-1	–	–	D

CD Dragon

DWWWWDDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	CD Audaz El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-2	–	–	L
27/10	CD El Vencedor El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	1-0	3-2	5	4	W
24/10	CD Sal y Mar El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-3	–	–	L
17/10	AD San Rafael El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/10	CD Olimpico Litoral El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	CD San Marcos El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	7-1	–	–	W
30/09	Orion FC (Usulutan) El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	3-2	–	–	W
27/09	CD Neo Pipil El Salvador Segunda Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
24/09	CD Audaz El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	0-0	3-0	3	6	W
20/09	Independiente San Vicente El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD PIPIL vs CD Dragon?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Dragon win (45%). Probabilities: CD PIPIL 30%, draw 25%, CD Dragon 45%.

How many goals are expected in CD PIPIL vs CD Dragon?

The model expects 3.26 goals (CD PIPIL 1.45 · CD Dragon 1.81), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD PIPIL vs CD Dragon?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.