Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 14/11, 19:30
Prediction: Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano
Team pages: Deportivo Armenio · Sportivo Italiano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.69Total
Deportivo Armenio0.84
Sportivo Italiano0.84
1X2
Deportivo Armenio
Draw
Sportivo Italiano
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Armenio
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Italiano
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Armenio
3–2–1
Sportivo Italiano
(6 last)
- Deportivo Armenio1-0Sportivo Italiano
- Sportivo Italiano1-0Deportivo Armenio
- Deportivo Armenio1-1Sportivo Italiano
- Sportivo Italiano0-1Deportivo Armenio
- Deportivo Armenio3-2Sportivo Italiano
- Sportivo Italiano1-1Deportivo Armenio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Armenio 1542 · Sportivo Italiano 1545
| Deportivo Armenio | Draw | Sportivo Italiano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 37% | 32% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.69 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Armenio: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Armenio | Sportivo Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Armenio 3–2–1 Sportivo Italiano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Italiano |
| 02/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Sportivo Italiano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Armenio |
| 01/12/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Italiano |
| 22/11/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Sportivo Italiano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Armenio |
| 12/10/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Sportivo Italiano |
| 11/06/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Sportivo Italiano | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Armenio |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 69 | 33 | 81 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 56 | 28 | 77 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48 | 33 | 72 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 42 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 27 | 71 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 42 | 19 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 35 | 70 |
| 6 | Villa Dalmine | 42 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 40 | 28 | 68 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 42 | 18 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 41 | 66 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 63 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 42 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 40 | 35 | 60 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 51 | 53 | 59 |
| 11 | Villa San Carlos | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 51 |
| 12 | San Martin De Burzaco | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 43 | 49 | 51 |
| 13 | Argentino Merlo | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 45 | 50 |
| 14 | CSD Flandria | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 40 | 50 | 49 |
| 15 | Deportivo Merlo | 42 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 40 | 55 | 49 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 42 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 43 | 48 |
| 17 | Argentino Quilmes | 42 | 10 | 17 | 15 | 33 | 41 | 47 |
| 18 | CS Dock Sud | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 42 | 51 | 47 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 42 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 35 | 41 | 46 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 42 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 26 | 38 | 46 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 42 | 8 | 21 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 45 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 42 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 28 | 69 | 17 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Armenio | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| CSD Flandria | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Argentino Quilmes | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo Italiano (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Armenio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/10 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/09 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Sportivo Italiano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Deportivo Armenio 33%, draw 34%, Sportivo Italiano 33%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
The model expects 1.69 goals (Deportivo Armenio 0.84 · Sportivo Italiano 0.84), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.