Football · Greece Super League 2 · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: Apollon Kalamarias vs Athens Kallithea

Team pages: Apollon Kalamarias · Athens Kallithea

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Apollon Kalamarias0.37
Athens Kallithea1.77
1X2
7% 20% 72%
Apollon Kalamarias Draw Athens Kallithea
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 58%
Most likely score
0-1 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Apollon Kalamarias 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLLWDWLLLL
Athens Kallithea 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWWWWDDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Apollon Kalamarias 1453 · Athens Kallithea 1543
Apollon KalamariasDrawAthens Kallithea
Our model6%22%71%
Market8%18%73%
Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athens Kallithea (rating 1453 vs 1543).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Apollon KalamariasAthens Kallithea
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.31.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 3.72.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.16.4 / 0.2

Standings · Greece Super League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Marko 10820 19626
2 Athens Kallithea 10622 12620
3 Larissa 10541 15619
4 Niki Volou 10523 14917
5 Panionios 10523 13917
6 Hellas Syrou 10442 16916
7 Panserraikos 10523 141413
8 Panthrakikos 10343 121213
9 Asteras Tripolis B 10343 101113
10 Anagennisi Karditsas 10334 81012
11 PAOK Salonika B 10334 101312
12 Pyrgos AFC 10235 8149
13 Nestos Chrisoupolis 10226 9158
14 Apollon Kalamarias 10226 7138
15 Olympiacos B 10136 13226
16 Zakynthos 10046 7184

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentApollon KalamariasAthens Kallithea
Panserraikos 1-2 L 2-1 W
Marko 0-2 L 1-2 L
Niki Volou 0-2 L 2-1 W
Asteras Tripolis B 0-1 L 2-0 W
Panionios 0-1 L 2-0 W
Hellas Syrou 2-2 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 5 L 4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Athens Kallithea (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Apollon Kalamarias

DLLWDWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Panserraikos
Greece Super League 2
0-1 1-2 00 L
02/11 Marko
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-2 55 L
24/10 Niki Volou
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-2 01 L
19/10 PAOK Salonika B
Greece Super League 2
0-2 1-2 68 L
11/10 Pyrgos AFC
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-0 62 W
05/10 Zakynthos
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-1 37 D
27/09 Anagennisi Karditsas
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-0 46 W
20/09 Asteras Tripolis B
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-1 63 L
14/09 Panionios
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-1 32 L
07/09 Hellas Syrou
Greece Super League 2
1-1 2-2 –– D

Athens Kallithea

WLWWWWDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Panionios
Greece Super League 2
1-0 2-0 37 W
01/11 Hellas Syrou
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-1 –– L
24/10 Larissa
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-1 46 D
18/10 Nestos Chrisoupolis
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-0 210 D
14/10 Olympiacos B
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-0 43 W
10/10 Panthrakikos
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-0 23 W
28/09 Asteras Tripolis B
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 97 W
20/09 Panserraikos
Greece Super League 2
1-1 2-1 68 W
12/09 Marko
Greece Super League 2
1-1 1-2 18 L
07/09 Niki Volou
Greece Super League 2
2-0 2-1 48 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Apollon Kalamarias vs Athens Kallithea?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Athens Kallithea win (72%). Probabilities: Apollon Kalamarias 7%, draw 20%, Athens Kallithea 72%.

How many goals are expected in Apollon Kalamarias vs Athens Kallithea?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Apollon Kalamarias 0.37 · Athens Kallithea 1.77), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Apollon Kalamarias vs Athens Kallithea?

The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.