Football · Greece Super League 2 · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: Niki Volou vs Pyrgos AFC

Team pages: Niki Volou · Pyrgos AFC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Niki Volou1.95
Pyrgos AFC0.57
1X2
70% 20% 10%
Niki Volou Draw Pyrgos AFC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Niki Volou 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLLWDWDWWW
Pyrgos AFC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLLDWLLWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Niki Volou 1541 · Pyrgos AFC 1462
Niki VolouDrawPyrgos AFC
Our model69%22%9%
Market71%19%10%
Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niki Volou (rating 1541 vs 1462).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Niki VolouPyrgos AFC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.90.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.32.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 04.4 / 0.3

Standings · Greece Super League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Marko 10820 19626
2 Athens Kallithea 10622 12620
3 Larissa 10541 15619
4 Niki Volou 10523 14917
5 Panionios 10523 13917
6 Hellas Syrou 10442 16916
7 Panserraikos 10523 141413
8 Panthrakikos 10343 121213
9 Asteras Tripolis B 10343 101113
10 Anagennisi Karditsas 10334 81012
11 PAOK Salonika B 10334 101312
12 Pyrgos AFC 10235 8149
13 Nestos Chrisoupolis 10226 9158
14 Apollon Kalamarias 10226 7138
15 Olympiacos B 10136 13226
16 Zakynthos 10046 7184

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNiki VolouPyrgos AFC
Zakynthos 2-0 W 3-2 W
Anagennisi Karditsas 2-1 W 0-1 L
Apollon Kalamarias 2-0 W 0-1 L
Panionios 1-1 D 2-0 W
Hellas Syrou 1-0 W 0-0 D
Larissa 2-2 D 0-4 L
Nestos Chrisoupolis 2-0 W 0-1 L
Panthrakikos 0-1 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Niki Volou (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Niki Volou

LLLWDWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/11 Zakynthos
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 43 W
31/10 Anagennisi Karditsas
Greece Super League 2
1-1 2-1 312 W
24/10 Apollon Kalamarias
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 61 W
19/10 Panionios
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-1 24 D
11/10 Hellas Syrou
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-0 –– W
03/10 Larissa
Greece Super League 2
2-1 2-2 46 D
27/09 Nestos Chrisoupolis
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 82 W
21/09 Panthrakikos
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-1 35 L
13/09 Olympiacos B
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-2 35 L
07/09 Athens Kallithea
Greece Super League 2
0-2 1-2 68 L

Pyrgos AFC

DLLDWLLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 PAOK Salonika B
Greece Super League 2
2-3 2-4 –– L
01/11 Asteras Tripolis B
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-1 46 D
26/10 Zakynthos
Greece Super League 2
2-0 3-2 86 W
18/10 Anagennisi Karditsas
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-1 58 L
11/10 Apollon Kalamarias
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-1 82 L
04/10 Panionios
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 35 W
27/09 Hellas Syrou
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-0 –– D
21/09 Larissa
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-4 43 L
13/09 Nestos Chrisoupolis
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-1 44 L
05/09 Panthrakikos
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-0 13 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Niki Volou vs Pyrgos AFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Niki Volou win (70%). Probabilities: Niki Volou 70%, draw 20%, Pyrgos AFC 10%.

How many goals are expected in Niki Volou vs Pyrgos AFC?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Niki Volou 1.95 · Pyrgos AFC 0.57), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Niki Volou vs Pyrgos AFC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.