Prediction: Larissa vs Nestos Chrisoupolis
Team pages: Larissa · Nestos Chrisoupolis
| Larissa | Draw | Nestos Chrisoupolis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 22% | 10% |
| Market | 69% | 20% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Larissa (rating 1564 vs 1427).
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Larissa | Nestos Chrisoupolis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 1.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
Standings · Greece Super League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marko | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Athens Kallithea | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Larissa | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Niki Volou | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Panionios | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Hellas Syrou | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | Panserraikos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | Panthrakikos | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Asteras Tripolis B | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Anagennisi Karditsas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | PAOK Salonika B | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| 12 | Pyrgos AFC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 9 |
| 13 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 14 | Apollon Kalamarias | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | Olympiacos B | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 6 |
| 16 | Zakynthos | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Larissa | Nestos Chrisoupolis |
|---|---|---|
| Panthrakikos | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Olympiacos B | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Athens Kallithea | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Panserraikos | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Marko | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Niki Volou | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| PAOK Salonika B | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Pyrgos AFC | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Zakynthos | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Larissa (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Larissa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Panthrakikos Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Olympiacos B Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 24/10 | Athens Kallithea Greece Super League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 18/10 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Marko Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Niki Volou Greece Super League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 27/09 | PAOK Salonika B Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 21/09 | Pyrgos AFC Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Zakynthos Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Anagennisi Karditsas Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
Nestos Chrisoupolis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Asteras Tripolis B Greece Super League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 31/10 | Panthrakikos Greece Super League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 24/10 | Olympiacos B Greece Super League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Athens Kallithea Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 10/10 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 05/10 | Marko Greece Super League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Niki Volou Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/09 | PAOK Salonika B Greece Super League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Pyrgos AFC Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Zakynthos Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Larissa vs Nestos Chrisoupolis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Larissa win (68%). Probabilities: Larissa 68%, draw 21%, Nestos Chrisoupolis 10%.
How many goals are expected in Larissa vs Nestos Chrisoupolis?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Larissa 1.91 · Nestos Chrisoupolis 0.6), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Larissa vs Nestos Chrisoupolis?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.