Prediction: Lucan United vs Montpelier FC

Team pages: Lucan United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.05Total
Lucan United1.64
Montpelier FC2.41
1X2
25% 21% 54%
Lucan United Draw Montpelier FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Lucan United 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLLWLL
Montpelier FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWLWDLDWW
Head-to-head
Lucan United 0–1 Montpelier FC (1 last)
  • Montpelier FC4-2Lucan United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucan United 1478 · Montpelier FC 1526
Lucan UnitedDrawMontpelier FC
Our model25%21%54%
Market25%21%54%
Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montpelier FC (rating 1478 vs 1526).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lucan UnitedMontpelier FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.72.2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.81.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/0/89%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.92.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.25.3 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucan United 0–0–1 Montpelier FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/04/26
Republic of Ireland FAI Intermediate Cup
Montpelier FC4-2
HT 2-0
Lucan United

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLucan UnitedMontpelier FC
Kilbarrack Utd 1-4 L 1-0 W
St Francis FC 2-1 W 4-1 W
Malahide Utd 0-2 L 1-1 D
Inchicore Athletic FC 1-3 L 3-3 D
Killester Donnycarney FC 0-3 L 3-1 W
Wayside Celtic 1-3 L 2-5 L
Tolka Rovers 2-1 W 3-3 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 5 L 3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Montpelier FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucan United

LWLLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Bangor Celtic FC
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
0-2 2-3 46 L
13/09 Kilbarrack Utd
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
0-3 1-4 51 L
04/09 St Francis FC
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
0-1 2-1 85 W
30/08 St Mochtas
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
0-3 1-3 23 L
26/08 Malahide Utd
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
– 0-2 –– L
23/08 Inchicore Athletic FC
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
0-2 1-3 45 L
19/08 Killester Donnycarney FC
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
0-1 0-3 34 L
16/08 Wayside Celtic
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
0-1 1-3 53 L
09/06 Tolka Rovers
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
1-0 2-1 75 W
31/05 St Francis FC
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
2-3 2-4 60 L

Montpelier FC

DLWLWDLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Killester Donnycarney FC
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
2-1 3-1 312 W
16/10 St Francis FC
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
2-0 4-1 82 W
09/10 Tolka Rovers
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
1-1 3-3 24 D
02/10 Crumlin United
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
2-3 2-4 313 L
11/09 Malahide Utd
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
0-1 1-1 42 D
04/09 Kilbarrack Utd
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
0-0 1-0 22 W
01/09 Wayside Celtic
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
1-1 2-5 67 L
21/08 Glebe North FC
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
1-0 3-2 42 W
18/08 Tolka Rovers
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
0-1 0-2 77 L
14/08 Inchicore Athletic FC
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League
2-3 3-3 48 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucan United vs Montpelier FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Montpelier FC win (54%). Probabilities: Lucan United 25%, draw 21%, Montpelier FC 54%.

How many goals are expected in Lucan United vs Montpelier FC?

The model expects 4.05 goals (Lucan United 1.64 · Montpelier FC 2.41), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lucan United vs Montpelier FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.