Football · Thailand Division 3 · 07/11, 12:00

Prediction: Thap Luang United vs Raj Pracha

Team pages: Thap Luang United · Raj Pracha

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Thap Luang United1.63
Raj Pracha0.65
1X2
61% 24% 15%
Thap Luang United Draw Raj Pracha
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Thap Luang United 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWWDDWLD
Raj Pracha 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DLWLLLDLLL
Head-to-head
Thap Luang United 1–2–1 Raj Pracha (4 last)
  • Raj Pracha1-2Thap Luang United
  • Raj Pracha0-0Thap Luang United
  • Raj Pracha1-1Thap Luang United
  • Thap Luang United0-2Raj Pracha
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thap Luang United 1546 · Raj Pracha 1412
Thap Luang UnitedDrawRaj Pracha
Our model60%26%14%
Market62%22%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thap Luang United (rating 1546 vs 1412).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Thap Luang UnitedRaj Pracha
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.50.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.10.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.61.1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.43.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Thap Luang United 1–2–1 Raj Pracha

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/11/25
Thailand Division 3
Raj Pracha1-2
HT 1-1
Thap Luang United
15/09/24
Thailand Division 3
Raj Pracha0-0
HT 0-0
Thap Luang United
03/02/24
Thailand Division 3
Raj Pracha1-1
HT 1-0
Thap Luang United
05/11/23
Thailand Division 3
Thap Luang United0-2
HT 0-0
Raj Pracha

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentThap Luang UnitedRaj Pracha
Assumption United 0-0 D 1-3 L
Samut Songkhram City 1-3 L 4-2 W
Bangkok FC 0-0 D 0-3 L
Thonburi United FC 1-0 W 1-2 L
Hua Hin City 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Thap Luang United (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thap Luang United

DWWWWDDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 55 D
18/10 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-3 83 L
10/10 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-0 52 W
03/10 Bangkok FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 26 D
20/09 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 46 D
22/03 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 32 W
07/03 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 43 W
28/02 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-1 3-1 23 W
21/02 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
2-0 2-0 00 W
15/02 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 35 D

Raj Pracha

DLWLLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 24 L
24/10 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-3 31 L
17/10 Bangkok FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-3 23 L
11/10 Phetchaburi PBRU FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 76 D
03/10 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 32 L
20/09 Samutsakhon City
Thailand Division 3
1-2 1-3 50 L
22/03 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-2 35 L
15/03 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
2-1 4-2 42 W
07/03 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 28 L
01/03 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 46 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thap Luang United vs Raj Pracha?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Thap Luang United win (61%). Probabilities: Thap Luang United 61%, draw 24%, Raj Pracha 15%.

How many goals are expected in Thap Luang United vs Raj Pracha?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Thap Luang United 1.63 · Raj Pracha 0.65), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Thap Luang United vs Raj Pracha?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.