Football · Uruguay Clausura · 17/11, 00:00
Prediction: Montevideo Wanderers vs Juventud De Las Piedras
Team pages: Montevideo Wanderers · Juventud De Las Piedras
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Montevideo Wanderers1.41
Juventud De Las Piedras1.16
1X2
Montevideo Wanderers
Draw
Juventud De Las Piedras
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Montevideo Wanderers
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Juventud De Las Piedras
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montevideo Wanderers
2–4
Juventud De Las Piedras
(6 last)
- Juventud De Las Piedras2-5Montevideo Wanderers
- Juventud De Las Piedras2-1Montevideo Wanderers
- Juventud De Las Piedras3-0Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers0-1Juventud De Las Piedras
- Juventud De Las Piedras1-0Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers3-0Juventud De Las Piedras
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Montevideo Wanderers 1449 · Juventud De Las Piedras 1548
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Juventud De Las Piedras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventud De Las Piedras (rating 1449 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Juventud De Las Piedras: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montevideo Wanderers | Juventud De Las Piedras | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montevideo Wanderers 2–0–4 Juventud De Las Piedras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Juventud De Las Piedras | 2-5 HT 1-1 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 02/05/26 Uruguay Apertura | Juventud De Las Piedras | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 11/01/26 Uruguay Copa de la Liga | Juventud De Las Piedras | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 23/08/25 Uruguay Clausura | Montevideo Wanderers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Juventud De Las Piedras |
| 23/02/25 Uruguay Apertura | Juventud De Las Piedras | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 26/10/19 Uruguay Clausura | Montevideo Wanderers | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Juventud De Las Piedras |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montevideo Wanderers | Juventud De Las Piedras |
|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Club Atletico Progreso | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Racing Club de Montevideo | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Boston River | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Cerro | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Albion FC | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Danubio | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Nacional De Football | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 4 L | 3 W 5 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Juventud De Las Piedras (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montevideo Wanderers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/10 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/09 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Juventud De Las Piedras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 24/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 04/10 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montevideo Wanderers vs Juventud De Las Piedras?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montevideo Wanderers win (42%). Probabilities: Montevideo Wanderers 42%, draw 28%, Juventud De Las Piedras 30%.
How many goals are expected in Montevideo Wanderers vs Juventud De Las Piedras?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Montevideo Wanderers 1.41 · Juventud De Las Piedras 1.16), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Montevideo Wanderers vs Juventud De Las Piedras?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.