Prediction: Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo
Team pages: Danubio · Liverpool Montevideo
- Liverpool Montevideo3-0Danubio
- Liverpool Montevideo0-0Danubio
- Danubio1-1Liverpool Montevideo
- Danubio1-0Liverpool Montevideo
- Danubio2-0Liverpool Montevideo
- Liverpool Montevideo1-2Danubio
| Danubio | Draw | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 30% | 49% |
| Market | 23% | 27% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liverpool Montevideo (rating 1485 vs 1609).
- H2H favours Danubio: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Danubio | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 6.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Danubio 3–2–1 Liverpool Montevideo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Uruguay Apertura | Liverpool Montevideo | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 03/08/25 Uruguay Clausura | Liverpool Montevideo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 01/02/25 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Liverpool Montevideo |
| 22/09/24 Uruguay Clausura | Danubio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Liverpool Montevideo |
| 28/07/24 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Danubio | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Liverpool Montevideo |
| 10/03/24 Uruguay Apertura | Liverpool Montevideo | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Danubio |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Danubio | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Nacional De Football | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Central Espanol | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Torque | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Cerro Largo | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Juventud De Las Piedras | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Penarol | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Club Atletico Progreso | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Liverpool Montevideo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 25/10 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 09/10 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 27/09 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
Liverpool Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 25/10 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 18/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 10/10 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 27/09 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/09 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/09 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 07/09 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Liverpool Montevideo win (49%). Probabilities: Danubio 22%, draw 28%, Liverpool Montevideo 49%.
How many goals are expected in Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Danubio 0.87 · Liverpool Montevideo 1.42), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.