Football · Uruguay Clausura · 13/11, 21:00
Prediction: Torque vs Racing Club de Montevideo
Team pages: Torque · Racing Club de Montevideo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Torque1.53
Racing Club de Montevideo1.23
1X2
Torque
Draw
Racing Club de Montevideo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Torque
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Racing Club de Montevideo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Torque
1–2–3
Racing Club de Montevideo
(6 last)
- Racing Club de Montevideo1-1Torque
- Torque4-0Racing Club de Montevideo
- Racing Club de Montevideo1-1Torque
- Racing Club de Montevideo3-1Torque
- Racing Club de Montevideo1-0Torque
- Torque0-2Racing Club de Montevideo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Torque 1572 · Racing Club de Montevideo 1477
| Torque | Draw | Racing Club de Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torque (rating 1572 vs 1477).
- H2H favours Racing Club de Montevideo: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Torque | Racing Club de Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.5 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.5 | 5.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Torque 1–2–3 Racing Club de Montevideo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Uruguay Apertura | Racing Club de Montevideo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Torque |
| 25/08/25 Uruguay Clausura | Torque | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Racing Club de Montevideo |
| 29/06/25 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Racing Club de Montevideo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Torque |
| 21/02/25 Uruguay Apertura | Racing Club de Montevideo | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Torque |
| 14/11/23 Uruguay Clausura | Racing Club de Montevideo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Torque |
| 08/04/23 Uruguay Apertura | Torque | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Racing Club de Montevideo |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Torque | Racing Club de Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Cerro | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Albion FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Penarol | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Cerro Largo | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Torque (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Torque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/10 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/10 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 06/10 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 01/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 22/09 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 05/09 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 8 | W |
Racing Club de Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 24/10 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 05/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 26/09 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torque vs Racing Club de Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Torque win (43%). Probabilities: Torque 43%, draw 28%, Racing Club de Montevideo 29%.
How many goals are expected in Torque vs Racing Club de Montevideo?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Torque 1.53 · Racing Club de Montevideo 1.23), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Torque vs Racing Club de Montevideo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.