Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 · 18/11, 20:30

Prediction: Salamanca CF UDS vs Albacete B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Salamanca CF UDS2.09

Albacete B1.29

1X2

55% 24% 22%

Salamanca CF UDS Draw Albacete B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Salamanca CF UDS 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWDLWW

Albacete B 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLDWLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salamanca CF UDS 1538 · Albacete B 1480

	Salamanca CF UDS	Draw	Albacete B
Our model	55%	23%	22%
Market	54%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salamanca CF UDS (rating 1538 vs 1480).
Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Salamanca CF UDS	Albacete B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.3 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.2	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.70

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:38 +32’	1.67	3.70	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	16	5	19
2	Salamanca CF UDS	10	6	1	3	16	11	19
3	UD San Sebastian Reyes	10	6	1	3	15	11	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	20	11	18
5	Atletico Madrid C	10	5	3	2	15	12	18
6	Valladolid Promesas	10	5	2	3	22	16	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	18	15	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	11	8	15
9	CD Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	20	20	13
10	Albacete B	10	3	3	4	13	24	12
11	Real Madrid C	10	2	5	3	5	6	11
12	Atletico Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	16	16	10
13	Gimnastica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	14	15	10
13	RSD Alcala	10	2	4	4	14	15	10
15	CD Atletico Paso	10	2	4	4	11	13	10
16	Getafe B	10	1	5	4	13	17	8
17	Real Avila	10	2	1	7	8	18	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	6	20	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Salamanca CF UDS	Albacete B
Gimnastica Segoviana	1-0 W	1-0 W
CF Talavera	1-2 L	0-4 L
UD San Sebastian Reyes	3-2 W	1-2 L
Atletico Tordesillas	0-2 L	4-3 W
Conquense	0-1 L	0-4 L
Getafe B	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Salamanca CF UDS (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salamanca CF UDS

WWLWLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Real Avila Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	1-1	3-1	1	10	W
01/11	Gimnastica Segoviana Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-0	1-0	9	10	W
25/10	CF Talavera Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-0	1-2	5	8	L
18/10	Navalcarnero Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
10/10	UD San Sebastian Reyes Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	2-0	3-2	4	4	W
04/10	Atletico Tordesillas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-0	0-2	8	5	L
27/09	RSD Alcala Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	2-0	3-0	5	9	W
20/09	Conquense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
12/09	Getafe B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
06/09	CD Guadalajara Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-1	3-2	3	3	W

Albacete B

DWLDLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Gimnastica Segoviana Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
01/11	UD San Sebastian Reyes Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
25/10	Atletico Madrid C Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-0	2-1	7	8	W
18/10	Getafe B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	2-1	2-2	2	4	D
11/10	Conquense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
03/10	CF Talavera Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-1	0-4	4	6	L
27/09	CD Atletico Paso Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
20/09	Valladolid Promesas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-3	1-6	2	6	L
12/09	Atletico Tordesillas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	1-0	4-3	9	4	W
06/09	Real Madrid C Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5	0-0	0-0	2	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salamanca CF UDS vs Albacete B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Salamanca CF UDS win (55%). Probabilities: Salamanca CF UDS 55%, draw 24%, Albacete B 22%.

How many goals are expected in Salamanca CF UDS vs Albacete B?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Salamanca CF UDS 2.09 · Albacete B 1.29), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Salamanca CF UDS vs Albacete B?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.