Football · Jamaica Premier League · 12/11, 21:00
Prediction: Mount Pleasant FA vs Portmore United
Team pages: Mount Pleasant FA · Portmore United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Mount Pleasant FA1.33
Portmore United1.14
1X2
Mount Pleasant FA
Draw
Portmore United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Mount Pleasant FA
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Portmore United
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mount Pleasant FA
4–1–1
Portmore United
(6 last)
- Portmore United0-1Mount Pleasant FA
- Mount Pleasant FA1-2Portmore United
- Portmore United0-1Mount Pleasant FA
- Mount Pleasant FA4-1Portmore United
- Mount Pleasant FA1-1Portmore United
- Portmore United0-2Mount Pleasant FA
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mount Pleasant FA 1579 · Portmore United 1496
| Mount Pleasant FA | Draw | Portmore United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mount Pleasant FA (rating 1579 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Mount Pleasant FA: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mount Pleasant FA | Portmore United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 3.4 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mount Pleasant FA 4–1–1 Portmore United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/26 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup | Portmore United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Mount Pleasant FA |
| 21/05/26 Jamaica Premier League | Mount Pleasant FA | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Portmore United |
| 18/05/26 Jamaica Premier League | Portmore United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Mount Pleasant FA |
| 24/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Mount Pleasant FA | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Portmore United |
| 02/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Mount Pleasant FA | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Portmore United |
| 14/12/25 Jamaica Premier League | Portmore United | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Mount Pleasant FA |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tru-Juice FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Waterhouse | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Racing United FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 17 |
| 4 | Montego Bay Utd | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Mount Pleasant FA | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | Arnett Gardens | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Tivoli Gardens | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Portmore United | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Cavalier | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Dunbeholden FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| 12 | Molynes United FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 7 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach FC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 6 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mount Pleasant FA | Portmore United |
|---|---|---|
| Arnett Gardens | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Montego Bay Utd | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Cavalier | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Tru-Juice FC | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mount Pleasant FA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 06/11 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 02/11 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/10 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/10 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
Portmore United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/11 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/10 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/10 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/09 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 17 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 21/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mount Pleasant FA vs Portmore United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mount Pleasant FA win (40%). Probabilities: Mount Pleasant FA 40%, draw 30%, Portmore United 31%.
How many goals are expected in Mount Pleasant FA vs Portmore United?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Mount Pleasant FA 1.33 · Portmore United 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mount Pleasant FA vs Portmore United?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.