Football · Botswana Premier League · 05/11, 15:00
Prediction: Nico United vs Morupule Wanderers FC
Team pages: Nico United · Morupule Wanderers FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Nico United0.99
Morupule Wanderers FC0.91
1X2
Nico United
Draw
Morupule Wanderers FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Nico United
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Morupule Wanderers FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nico United
1–3–2
Morupule Wanderers FC
(6 last)
- Morupule Wanderers FC0-0Nico United
- Nico United1-0Morupule Wanderers FC
- Morupule Wanderers FC1-0Nico United
- Nico United1-1Morupule Wanderers FC
- Morupule Wanderers FC1-1Nico United
- Morupule Wanderers FC2-0Nico United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nico United 1449 · Morupule Wanderers FC 1465
| Nico United | Draw | Morupule Wanderers FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 34% | 31% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Morupule Wanderers FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nico United | Morupule Wanderers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/67/33% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3 | 2.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nico United 1–3–2 Morupule Wanderers FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Botswana Premier League | Morupule Wanderers FC | 0-0 | Nico United |
| 22/11/25 Botswana Premier League | Nico United | 1-0 | Morupule Wanderers FC |
| 01/03/25 Botswana Premier League | Morupule Wanderers FC | 1-0 | Nico United |
| 04/12/24 Botswana Premier League | Nico United | 1-1 | Morupule Wanderers FC |
| 22/10/23 Botswana Premier League | Morupule Wanderers FC | 1-1 | Nico United |
| 05/03/23 Botswana Premier League | Morupule Wanderers FC | 2-0 | Nico United |
Standings · Botswana Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaborone United | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Sua Flamingoes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | Tonota FC | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Centre Chiefs | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Orapa United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Jwaneng Galaxy FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Botswana Police XI SC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Tafic FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Extension Gunners | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | Township Rollers | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Prisons XI Gaborone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
| 12 | Nico United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Enesia FC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | Morupule Wanderers FC | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 15 | Matebele FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
| 16 | BDF XI | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nico United | Morupule Wanderers FC |
|---|---|---|
| Sua Flamingoes | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Botswana Police XI SC | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Gaborone United | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Jwaneng Galaxy FC | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Prisons XI Gaborone | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Extension Gunners | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| BDF XI | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nico United (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nico United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Sua Flamingoes Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/10 | Botswana Police XI SC Botswana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Gaborone United Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Jwaneng Galaxy FC Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Prisons XI Gaborone Botswana Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/09 | Centre Chiefs Botswana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Extension Gunners Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | BDF XI Botswana Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Orapa United Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | Extension Gunners Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Morupule Wanderers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Extension Gunners Botswana Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/10 | BDF XI Botswana Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/10 | Prisons XI Gaborone Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/10 | Gaborone United Botswana Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Township Rollers Botswana Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | Sua Flamingoes Botswana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Botswana Police XI SC Botswana Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Botswana Police XI SC Botswana Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Jwaneng Galaxy FC Botswana Premier League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | Sua Flamingoes Botswana Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nico United vs Morupule Wanderers FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nico United win (36%). Probabilities: Nico United 36%, draw 32%, Morupule Wanderers FC 32%.
How many goals are expected in Nico United vs Morupule Wanderers FC?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Nico United 0.99 · Morupule Wanderers FC 0.91), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Nico United vs Morupule Wanderers FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.