Football · Kosovo Division 1 · 03/11, 13:00

Prediction: KF Tefik Canga vs KF Ferizaj

Team pages: KF Tefik Canga

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

KF Tefik Canga0.88

KF Ferizaj1.56

1X2

21% 26% 53%

KF Tefik Canga Draw KF Ferizaj

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Tefik Canga 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLWDL

KF Ferizaj 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWWWDW

Head-to-head

KF Tefik Canga 0–1 KF Ferizaj (1 last)

KF Ferizaj2-0KF Tefik Canga

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Tefik Canga 1437 · KF Ferizaj 1588

	KF Tefik Canga	Draw	KF Ferizaj
Our model	20%	28%	52%
Market	22%	24%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KF Ferizaj (rating 1437 vs 1588).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Tefik Canga	KF Ferizaj
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.4	1.6 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	0.7 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 4	3.3 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.70

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:57 +4’	4.10	3.70	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Tefik Canga 0–0–1 KF Ferizaj

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/12/25 Kosovo Cup	KF Ferizaj	2-0 HT 1-0	KF Tefik Canga

Standings · Kosovo Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Liria	12	9	2	1	20	5	29
2	KF Prishtina e Re	13	9	1	3	23	12	28
3	Rilindja 1974	13	7	3	3	19	13	24
4	KF Ferizaj	13	6	5	2	18	7	23
5	Trepca 89	13	6	5	2	16	9	23
6	KF 2 Korriku	13	6	3	4	11	7	21
7	KF Dinamo Ferizaj	13	5	5	3	18	12	20
8	Vellaznimi Gjakova	13	6	2	5	16	19	20
9	FC Suhareka	13	5	4	4	23	18	19
10	Istogu	13	6	1	6	13	16	19
11	KF Vjosa	13	3	7	3	16	12	16
12	KF Kika	13	2	7	4	11	19	13
13	KF Besa Peje	13	3	3	7	17	22	12
14	KF Trepca Mitrovice	13	3	3	7	10	22	12
15	KF Ramiz Sadiku	13	1	6	6	11	19	9
16	KF Lepenci	13	1	6	6	9	20	9
17	KF FC Mitrovica	12	1	5	6	6	16	8
18	KF Tefik Canga	13	1	4	8	11	20	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Tefik Canga	KF Ferizaj
KF Lepenci	1-2 L	1-0 W
KF Kika	1-1 D	1-1 D
KF Trepca Mitrovice	0-1 L	2-0 W
KF Dinamo Ferizaj	0-1 L	4-1 W
KF FC Mitrovica	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KF Ferizaj (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Tefik Canga

DLLDLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Liria Kosovo Division 1	–	1-2	–	–	L
24/10	KF Prishtina e Re Kosovo Division 1	–	0-0	–	–	D
21/10	KF Besa Peje Kosovo Division 1	–	3-1	–	–	W
18/10	FC Suhareka Kosovo Division 1	–	0-3	–	–	L
10/10	Rilindja 1974 Kosovo Division 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	KF Lepenci Kosovo Division 1	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	KF Kika Kosovo Division 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
21/09	KF Trepca Mitrovice Kosovo Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
11/09	KF Dinamo Ferizaj Kosovo Division 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	KF FC Mitrovica Kosovo Division 1	–	2-2	–	–	D

KF Ferizaj

DWWDDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	KF Lepenci Kosovo Division 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
25/10	KF Kika Kosovo Division 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
21/10	KF Trepca Mitrovice Kosovo Division 1	–	2-0	–	–	W
17/10	KF Dinamo Ferizaj Kosovo Division 1	–	4-1	–	–	W
11/10	KF FC Mitrovica Kosovo Division 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	KF Ramiz Sadiku Kosovo Division 1	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/09	KF 2 Korriku Kosovo Division 1	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
20/09	Vellaznimi Gjakova Kosovo Division 1	2-0	5-1	2	1	W
13/09	Istogu Kosovo Division 1	0-0	2-0	10	7	W
06/09	KF Vjosa Kosovo Division 1	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Tefik Canga vs KF Ferizaj?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KF Ferizaj win (53%). Probabilities: KF Tefik Canga 21%, draw 26%, KF Ferizaj 53%.

How many goals are expected in KF Tefik Canga vs KF Ferizaj?

The model expects 2.45 goals (KF Tefik Canga 0.88 · KF Ferizaj 1.56), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Tefik Canga vs KF Ferizaj?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.