Football · Kosovo Division 1 · 05/11, 13:00

Prediction: KF Trepca Mitrovice vs Istogu

Team pages: KF Trepca Mitrovice · Istogu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

KF Trepca Mitrovice1.37

Istogu0.92

1X2

47% 29% 24%

KF Trepca Mitrovice Draw Istogu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Trepca Mitrovice 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDWLWLLLLD

Istogu 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDWWLWLW

Head-to-head

KF Trepca Mitrovice 3–2–1 Istogu (6 last)

Istogu2-3KF Trepca Mitrovice
KF Trepca Mitrovice4-1Istogu
Istogu1-1KF Trepca Mitrovice
Istogu3-2KF Trepca Mitrovice
KF Trepca Mitrovice1-1Istogu
KF Trepca Mitrovice2-1Istogu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Trepca Mitrovice 1465 · Istogu 1504

	KF Trepca Mitrovice	Draw	Istogu
Our model	46%	30%	24%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KF Trepca Mitrovice: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Trepca Mitrovice	Istogu
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.4	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	0.7 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.20

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:59 +3’	1.91	3.20	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Trepca Mitrovice 3–2–1 Istogu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/11/25 Kosovo Division 1	Istogu	2-3	KF Trepca Mitrovice
16/08/25 Kosovo Division 1	KF Trepca Mitrovice	4-1	Istogu
29/03/25 Kosovo Division 1	Istogu	1-1	KF Trepca Mitrovice
15/02/25 Kosovo Division 1	Istogu	3-2	KF Trepca Mitrovice
25/09/24 Kosovo Division 1	KF Trepca Mitrovice	1-1	Istogu
21/04/24 Kosovo Division 1	KF Trepca Mitrovice	2-1	Istogu

Standings · Kosovo Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Liria	12	9	2	1	20	5	29
2	KF Prishtina e Re	13	9	1	3	23	12	28
3	KF Ferizaj	14	6	6	2	18	7	24
4	Rilindja 1974	13	7	3	3	19	13	24
5	Trepca 89	13	6	5	2	16	9	23
6	KF 2 Korriku	13	6	3	4	11	7	21
7	KF Dinamo Ferizaj	13	5	5	3	18	12	20
8	Vellaznimi Gjakova	13	6	2	5	16	19	20
9	FC Suhareka	13	5	4	4	23	18	19
10	Istogu	13	6	1	6	13	16	19
11	KF Vjosa	13	3	7	3	16	12	16
12	KF Kika	13	2	7	4	11	19	13
13	KF Besa Peje	13	3	3	7	17	22	12
14	KF Trepca Mitrovice	13	3	3	7	10	22	12
15	KF Ramiz Sadiku	13	1	6	6	11	19	9
16	KF Lepenci	13	1	6	6	9	20	9
17	KF Tefik Canga	14	1	5	8	11	20	8
18	KF FC Mitrovica	12	1	5	6	6	16	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Trepca Mitrovice	Istogu
KF Vjosa	2-2 D	1-1 D
Trepca 89	1-3 L	1-2 L
KF Ferizaj	0-2 L	0-2 L
FK Liria	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Istogu (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Trepca Mitrovice

DDWLWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	KF Vjosa Kosovo Division 1	–	2-2	–	–	D
25/10	Trepca 89 Kosovo Division 1	–	1-3	–	–	L
21/10	KF Ferizaj Kosovo Division 1	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/10	FK Liria Kosovo Division 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	KF Prishtina e Re Kosovo Division 1	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/10	KF Besa Peje Kosovo Division 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
26/09	FC Suhareka Kosovo Division 1	–	1-4	–	–	L
21/09	KF Tefik Canga Kosovo Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
11/09	KF Lepenci Kosovo Division 1	–	0-0	–	–	D
06/09	KF Kika Kosovo Division 1	–	0-0	–	–	D

Istogu

WLLDWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	KF Dinamo Ferizaj Kosovo Division 1	–	2-0	–	–	W
26/10	KF FC Mitrovica Kosovo Division 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
21/10	KF Ramiz Sadiku Kosovo Division 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
17/10	KF 2 Korriku Kosovo Division 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Vellaznimi Gjakova Kosovo Division 1	–	3-2	–	–	W
03/10	Rilindja 1974 Kosovo Division 1	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
26/09	KF Vjosa Kosovo Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
19/09	Trepca 89 Kosovo Division 1	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	KF Ferizaj Kosovo Division 1	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
05/09	FK Liria Kosovo Division 1	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Trepca Mitrovice vs Istogu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KF Trepca Mitrovice win (47%). Probabilities: KF Trepca Mitrovice 47%, draw 29%, Istogu 24%.

How many goals are expected in KF Trepca Mitrovice vs Istogu?

The model expects 2.28 goals (KF Trepca Mitrovice 1.37 · Istogu 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Trepca Mitrovice vs Istogu?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.