Football · Spain Segunda · 08/11, 17:00

Prediction: Granada vs Tenerife

Team pages: Granada · Tenerife

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Granada1.62

Tenerife0.89

1X2

53% 27% 19%

Granada Draw Tenerife

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Granada 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWWWWW

Tenerife 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLDLDDD

Head-to-head

Granada 4–2 Tenerife (6 last)

Tenerife0-1Granada
Tenerife2-1Granada
Granada4-0Tenerife
Granada2-0Tenerife
Tenerife2-0Granada
Granada2-1Tenerife

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Granada 1576 · Tenerife 1475

	Granada	Draw	Tenerife
Our model	53%	27%	19%
Market	53%	27%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Granada (rating 1576 vs 1475).
H2H favours Granada: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Granada	Tenerife
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.6	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.40

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.73▼	Bet365 1.73
X	3.25 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
2	3.80 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:35 +3’	1.95	3.25	3.80
11:16 +5’	1.80▼	3.40▲	4.50▲
16:25 +4’	1.73▼	3.40	4.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Granada 4–0–2 Tenerife

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/12/25 Spain Copa del Rey	Tenerife	0-1 HT 0-0	Granada
28/03/25 Spain Segunda	Tenerife	2-1 HT 0-1	Granada
19/10/24 Spain Segunda	Granada	4-0 HT 2-0	Tenerife
10/02/23 Spain Segunda	Granada	2-0 HT 1-0	Tenerife
16/10/22 Spain Segunda	Tenerife	2-0 HT 1-0	Granada
10/05/19 Spain Segunda	Granada	2-1 HT 2-0	Tenerife

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	12	8	3	1	23	5	27
2	Almeria	12	8	2	2	23	10	26
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	19	14	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21	14	23
5	Granada	12	7	2	3	20	14	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	15	7	22
7	Sporting Gijon	12	7	1	4	13	13	22
8	Girona	12	6	3	3	22	11	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
10	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	22	22	19
11	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12	11	17
12	Las Palmas	12	5	2	5	17	21	17
13	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	20	19	15
14	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
15	Eldense	12	4	2	6	13	17	14
16	Celta Fortuna	13	3	4	6	19	25	13
17	Leganes	13	3	3	7	11	23	12
18	Real Sociedad B	12	3	2	7	15	22	11
19	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	16	18	10
20	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	13	24	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	10	30	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Granada	Tenerife
Cadiz	2-0 W	1-1 D
Real Sociedad B	3-2 W	1-1 D
Leganes	2-3 L	2-0 W
Cordoba	3-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Granada (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Granada

WLDLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Eldense Spain Segunda	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
23/10	Valladolid Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
18/10	Cadiz Spain Segunda	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
12/10	Burgos Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	0	7	W
04/10	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-2	3-2	7	5	W
26/09	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-2	2-3	14	10	L
20/09	Leganes Spain Segunda	1-2	2-3	4	6	L
12/09	Albacete Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/09	Eibar Spain Segunda	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
30/08	Cordoba Spain Segunda	0-1	3-1	3	2	W

Tenerife

WLDWLDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Sabadell Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	5	8	D
19/10	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
12/10	Girona Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
05/10	Cordoba Spain Segunda	1-2	2-3	8	11	L
26/09	Cadiz Spain Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
19/09	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-3	0-5	5	2	L
13/09	Leganes Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
05/09	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
28/08	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
23/08	Almeria Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Granada vs Tenerife?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Granada win (53%). Probabilities: Granada 53%, draw 27%, Tenerife 19%.

How many goals are expected in Granada vs Tenerife?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Granada 1.62 · Tenerife 0.89), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Granada vs Tenerife?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.