Football · Brazil Serie B · 08/11, 00:00

Prediction: Cuiaba vs EC Juventude

Team pages: Cuiaba · EC Juventude

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Cuiaba1.09

EC Juventude1.25

1X2

31% 31% 38%

Cuiaba Draw EC Juventude

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cuiaba 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDLLLL

EC Juventude 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWDDWD

Head-to-head

Cuiaba 3–2–1 EC Juventude (6 last)

EC Juventude2-0Cuiaba
EC Juventude1-1Cuiaba
Cuiaba0-0EC Juventude
Cuiaba1-0EC Juventude
EC Juventude0-1Cuiaba
EC Juventude1-2Cuiaba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cuiaba 1483 · EC Juventude 1553

	Cuiaba	Draw	EC Juventude
Our model	31%	31%	39%
Market	31%	31%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EC Juventude (rating 1483 vs 1553).
H2H favours Cuiaba: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cuiaba	EC Juventude
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.3	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.00

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:20 +3’	3.00	3.00	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cuiaba 3–2–1 EC Juventude

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	2-0 HT 1-0	Cuiaba
23/11/24 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	1-1 HT 0-0	Cuiaba
06/09/24 Brazil Serie A	Cuiaba	0-0 HT 0-0	EC Juventude
14/08/22 Brazil Serie A	Cuiaba	1-0 HT 1-0	EC Juventude
24/04/22 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	0-1 HT 0-0	Cuiaba
11/09/21 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	1-2 HT 0-1	Cuiaba

Standings · Brazil Serie B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gremio Novorizontino	36	19	10	7	64	31	67
2	EC Juventude	36	18	11	7	47	25	65
3	Vila Nova	36	18	9	9	52	38	63
4	Criciuma	36	18	8	10	38	30	62
5	Fortaleza	35	16	13	6	43	31	61
6	CRB	35	16	7	12	53	49	55
7	Sport Recife	36	14	13	9	48	39	55
8	Atletico GO	35	14	12	9	42	33	54
9	Goias	35	15	7	13	36	40	52
10	Sao Bernardo SP	36	14	10	12	51	40	52
11	Operario PR	36	14	9	13	46	48	51
12	Botafogo SP	36	13	9	14	41	39	48
13	Cuiaba	36	11	14	11	33	30	47
14	Nautico	36	12	10	14	40	46	46
15	Athletic Club MG	35	10	14	11	40	40	44
16	Ceara	35	11	10	14	37	44	43
17	Avai	36	10	7	19	33	46	37
18	Londrina	36	8	8	20	45	54	32
19	America MG	36	7	5	24	26	55	26
20	Ponte Preta	36	3	6	27	21	78	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cuiaba	EC Juventude
Sao Bernardo SP	1-2 L	2-2 D
America MG	0-1 L	1-0 W
Vila Nova	0-0 D	2-2 D
Ponte Preta	2-0 W	2-0 W
Nautico	3-0 W	4-0 W
Athletic Club MG	3-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: EC Juventude (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cuiaba

WDWLWDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
26/10	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	12	2	L
21/10	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	8	1	L
11/10	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	13	3	L
08/10	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/10	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
27/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-3	7	6	L
22/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
13/09	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
09/09	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-0	2	1	W

EC Juventude

WLLWWWDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-2	2	5	D
27/10	Nautico Brazil Serie B	2-0	4-0	4	6	W
17/10	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-2	6	5	D
11/10	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
07/10	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
03/10	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
29/09	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
19/09	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
13/09	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
09/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cuiaba vs EC Juventude?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EC Juventude win (38%). Probabilities: Cuiaba 31%, draw 31%, EC Juventude 38%.

How many goals are expected in Cuiaba vs EC Juventude?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Cuiaba 1.09 · EC Juventude 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs EC Juventude?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.