Football · Argentina Nacional B · 14/11, 22:00
Prediction: Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu
Team pages: Deportivo Madryn · Deportivo Maipu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
Deportivo Madryn1.34
Deportivo Maipu0.69
1X2
Deportivo Madryn
Draw
Deportivo Maipu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Madryn
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Maipu
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Madryn
0–3–3
Deportivo Maipu
(6 last)
- Deportivo Maipu2-1Deportivo Madryn
- Deportivo Madryn1-1Deportivo Maipu
- Deportivo Maipu0-0Deportivo Madryn
- Deportivo Madryn2-3Deportivo Maipu
- Deportivo Maipu2-2Deportivo Madryn
- Deportivo Maipu2-0Deportivo Madryn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Madryn 1533 · Deportivo Maipu 1514
| Deportivo Madryn | Draw | Deportivo Maipu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 31% | 18% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Maipu: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Madryn | Deportivo Maipu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 2.8 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Madryn 0–3–3 Deportivo Maipu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 26/04/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 25/09/23 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 13/05/23 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 27/08/22 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 31/01/21 Argentina Torneo A | Deportivo Maipu | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 36 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 64 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 49 | 58 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 29 | 55 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | CA Colegiales | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 32 | 52 |
| 8 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 37 | 35 | 52 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 51 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 47 |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 47 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 46 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 30 | 45 |
| 14 | Chacarita Juniors | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 35 | 42 |
| 15 | Almagro | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 44 | 42 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 36 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 38 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 36 | 37 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 62 | 27 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Madryn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/10 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 27/09 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 06/09 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 30/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Deportivo Maipu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/10 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/10 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 12/09 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Madryn win (52%). Probabilities: Deportivo Madryn 52%, draw 29%, Deportivo Maipu 19%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
The model expects 2.02 goals (Deportivo Madryn 1.34 · Deportivo Maipu 0.69), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.