Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 04/11, 22:00

Prediction: Inter San Carlos vs Cartagines

Team pages: Inter San Carlos · Cartagines

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Inter San Carlos1.48

Cartagines1.66

1X2

33% 27% 40%

Inter San Carlos Draw Cartagines

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Inter San Carlos 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDWLLL

Cartagines 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Inter San Carlos 0–1 Cartagines (1 last)

Cartagines3-1Inter San Carlos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter San Carlos 1457 · Cartagines 1574

	Inter San Carlos	Draw	Cartagines
Our model	33%	26%	41%
Market	32%	28%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cartagines (rating 1457 vs 1574).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inter San Carlos	Cartagines
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	3.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.40

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +6’	2.90	3.40	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter San Carlos 0–0–1 Cartagines

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Cartagines	3-1 HT 1-0	Inter San Carlos

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cartagines	14	9	0	5	27	17	27
2	Sporting San Jose	14	8	3	3	27	20	27
3	Deportivo Saprissa	14	8	1	5	27	14	25
4	Alajuelense	14	6	5	3	21	14	23
5	AD San Carlos	14	7	1	6	15	18	22
6	Puntarenas	14	5	4	5	16	20	19
7	Inter San Carlos	14	5	3	6	17	23	18
8	Herediano	14	4	2	8	15	18	14
9	Escorpiones de Belen FC	14	4	1	9	17	24	13
10	Municipal Perez Zeledon	14	2	4	8	10	24	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inter San Carlos	Cartagines
Escorpiones de Belen FC	2-3 L	4-1 W
Puntarenas	1-3 L	3-1 W
Alajuelense	2-3 L	3-1 W
AD San Carlos	2-1 W	3-0 W
Sporting San Jose	0-2 L	1-3 L
Deportivo Saprissa	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cartagines (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter San Carlos

WLWDLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	2-3	6	2	L
25/10	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-3	2	5	L
18/10	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
14/10	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-1	1	11	W
10/10	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
21/09	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	0-2	0-5	4	4	L
13/09	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-1	12	6	D
05/09	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
29/08	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-2	9	10	L
23/08	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	8	W

Cartagines

WWWWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
25/10	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-3	5	1	L
18/10	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
14/10	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
10/10	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-3	8	5	L
21/09	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
14/09	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
07/09	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	3-1	5	8	W
30/08	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
23/08	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	4-1	9	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter San Carlos vs Cartagines?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cartagines win (40%). Probabilities: Inter San Carlos 33%, draw 27%, Cartagines 40%.

How many goals are expected in Inter San Carlos vs Cartagines?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Inter San Carlos 1.48 · Cartagines 1.66), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter San Carlos vs Cartagines?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.