Football · Brazil Serie A · 19/11, 00:00

Prediction: Remo vs Chapecoense

Team pages: Remo · Chapecoense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Remo1.94

Chapecoense1.09

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Remo Draw Chapecoense

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Remo 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDDDLWL

Chapecoense 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Remo 1–2–0 Chapecoense (3 last)

Chapecoense2-3Remo
Remo1-1Chapecoense
Chapecoense1-1Remo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Remo 1455 · Chapecoense 1424

	Remo	Draw	Chapecoense
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	56%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Remo	Chapecoense
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.8	0.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.8	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.80

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.05

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
23:06 +64’	1.67	3.80	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Remo 1–2–0 Chapecoense

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Brazil Serie A	Chapecoense	2-3 HT 1-1	Remo
02/11/25 Brazil Serie B	Remo	1-1 HT 1-0	Chapecoense
13/07/25 Brazil Serie B	Chapecoense	1-1 HT 0-0	Remo

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	71	29	76
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	62	23	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	55	48	60
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	55	42	57
5	Athletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51	43	54
6	EC Bahia	34	14	11	9	50	45	53
7	Atletico Mineiro	34	14	8	12	44	40	50
8	Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44	39	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50	49	47
10	Sao Paulo	34	12	8	14	39	39	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	46	53	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	40	51	42
13	Vasco da Gama	33	11	8	14	43	50	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	39	48	40
15	Vitoria	34	10	8	16	35	51	38
16	Internacional	34	9	11	14	38	42	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	36	42	37
18	Gremio	34	9	10	15	38	47	37
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	37	57	29
20	Chapecoense	33	4	9	20	33	68	21

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Remo	Chapecoense
Botafogo	2-1 W	0-1 L
Bragantino	1-1 D	0-3 L
Gremio	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Remo (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Remo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/11	Palmeiras Brazil Serie A	1-4	1-6	3	4	L
29/10	Botafogo Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
24/10	Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
19/10	Bragantino Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	14	3	D
10/10	Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/10	Gremio Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
19/09	Santos Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-2	5	7	L
15/09	EC Bahia Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
06/09	Flamengo Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
01/09	Coritiba Brazil Serie A	0-0	2-3	9	4	L

Chapecoense

LWLDLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
28/10	Bragantino Brazil Serie A	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
25/10	Fluminense Brazil Serie A	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
17/10	Botafogo Brazil Serie A	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
13/10	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	0-3	1-4	6	3	L
08/10	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	0-1	0-4	6	5	L
19/09	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
12/09	Internacional Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	4	8	L
07/09	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
30/08	Gremio Brazil Serie A	1-2	1-3	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Remo vs Chapecoense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Remo win (56%). Probabilities: Remo 56%, draw 24%, Chapecoense 20%.

How many goals are expected in Remo vs Chapecoense?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Remo 1.94 · Chapecoense 1.09), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Remo vs Chapecoense?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.