Football · Aruba Division Di Honor · 02/11, 01:00

Prediction: SV Deportivo Nacional vs Racing Club Aruba

Team pages: SV Deportivo Nacional

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.94Total

SV Deportivo Nacional1.94

Racing Club Aruba2.01

1X2

38% 22% 40%

SV Deportivo Nacional Draw Racing Club Aruba

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Deportivo Nacional 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWWL

Racing Club Aruba 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLDLD

Head-to-head

SV Deportivo Nacional 2–1–3 Racing Club Aruba (6 last)

SV Deportivo Nacional1-0Racing Club Aruba
Racing Club Aruba6-0SV Deportivo Nacional
SV Deportivo Nacional1-2Racing Club Aruba
Racing Club Aruba2-0SV Deportivo Nacional
SV Deportivo Nacional2-1Racing Club Aruba
Racing Club Aruba1-1SV Deportivo Nacional

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Deportivo Nacional 1623 · Racing Club Aruba 1435

	SV Deportivo Nacional	Draw	Racing Club Aruba
Our model	38%	22%	40%
Market	38%	22%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Deportivo Nacional (rating 1623 vs 1435).
H2H favours Racing Club Aruba: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Deportivo Nacional	Racing Club Aruba
Goals for / against (FT)	4.3 / 1.5	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.8	0.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/0/20%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.7	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.35

X4.10

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 1.45 · xG: 4.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.35▼	Bet365 2.35
X	3.90 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	2.25 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:50 +5’	2.40	3.90	2.25
23:47 +14’	2.35▼	4.10▲	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Deportivo Nacional 2–1–3 Racing Club Aruba

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Aruba Division Di Honor	SV Deportivo Nacional	1-0 HT 1-0	Racing Club Aruba
27/04/25 Aruba Division Di Honor	Racing Club Aruba	6-0 HT 5-0	SV Deportivo Nacional
18/02/25 Aruba Division Di Honor	SV Deportivo Nacional	1-2 HT 0-2	Racing Club Aruba
03/11/24 Aruba Division Di Honor	Racing Club Aruba	2-0 HT 0-0	SV Deportivo Nacional
07/04/24 Aruba Division Di Honor	SV Deportivo Nacional	2-1 HT 1-0	Racing Club Aruba
17/02/24 Aruba Division Di Honor	Racing Club Aruba	1-1 HT 1-1	SV Deportivo Nacional

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Deportivo Nacional	Racing Club Aruba
SV Britannia	2-3 L	2-3 L
Bubali SC	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Club Aruba (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Deportivo Nacional

WLWWWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	SV Britannia Aruba Division Di Honor	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
01/06	SV Caravel Aruba Division Di Honor	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
28/05	SV Atlantico Deportivo Aruba Division Di Honor	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
18/05	FC San Nicolas Aruba Division Di Honor	2-1	4-2	5	6	W
28/04	SV Caravel Aruba Division Di Honor	2-1	8-1	1	0	W
12/04	FC San Nicolas Aruba Division Di Honor	3-2	8-4	3	3	W
30/03	SV Estudiantes Aruba Division Di Honor	2-0	7-0	0	0	W
20/03	Real Koyari Aruba Division Di Honor	4-1	7-1	7	3	W
28/02	Bubali SC Aruba Division Di Honor	0-2	1-3	3	7	L
21/02	Racing Club Aruba Aruba Division Di Honor	1-0	1-0	0	7	W

Racing Club Aruba

WLLLLLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Bubali SC Aruba Division Di Honor	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
09/05	SV Sporting Aruba Aruba Division Di Honor	1-1	2-3	2	6	L
02/05	SV Dakota Aruba Division Di Honor	0-1	1-1	2	0	D
26/04	SV Britannia Aruba Division Di Honor	0-2	2-3	3	7	L
18/04	Bubali SC Aruba Division Di Honor	1-1	1-2	6	6	L
21/03	SV Sporting Aruba Aruba Division Di Honor	0-1	2-3	3	11	L
14/03	SV Dakota Aruba Division Di Honor	0-2	1-3	4	5	L
08/03	SV Britannia Aruba Division Di Honor	0-1	1-3	2	1	L
21/02	SV Deportivo Nacional Aruba Division Di Honor	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
21/12	SV River Plate Aruba Division Di Honor	1-1	3-2	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Deportivo Nacional vs Racing Club Aruba?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing Club Aruba win (40%). Probabilities: SV Deportivo Nacional 38%, draw 22%, Racing Club Aruba 40%.

How many goals are expected in SV Deportivo Nacional vs Racing Club Aruba?

The model expects 3.94 goals (SV Deportivo Nacional 1.94 · Racing Club Aruba 2.01), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Deportivo Nacional vs Racing Club Aruba?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.