Football · Colombia Primera A · 05/11, 00:30

Prediction: Cucuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe

Team pages: Cucuta Deportivo · Independiente Santa Fe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Cucuta Deportivo1.34

Independiente Santa Fe1.41

1X2

34% 28% 38%

Cucuta Deportivo Draw Independiente Santa Fe

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Cucuta Deportivo 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWWWLL

Independiente Santa Fe 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Cucuta Deportivo 2–1–3 Independiente Santa Fe (6 last)

Independiente Santa Fe5-0Cucuta Deportivo
Cucuta Deportivo2-3Independiente Santa Fe
Cucuta Deportivo1-0Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe1-2Cucuta Deportivo
Independiente Santa Fe5-0Cucuta Deportivo
Cucuta Deportivo2-2Independiente Santa Fe

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Santa Fe (rating 1476 vs 1541).
H2H favours Independiente Santa Fe: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cucuta Deportivo	Independiente Santa Fe
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.1	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.7	5.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.96

Under 2.51.83

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.98 → 2.98	Pinn 2.98
X	3.34 → 3.34	Pinn 3.34
2	2.37 → 2.37	Pinn 2.37

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:01 +67’	2.98	3.34	2.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cucuta Deportivo 2–1–3 Independiente Santa Fe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Colombia Primera A	Independiente Santa Fe	5-0 HT 3-0	Cucuta Deportivo
03/10/20 Colombia Primera A	Cucuta Deportivo	2-3 HT 2-1	Independiente Santa Fe
21/07/19 Colombia Primera A	Cucuta Deportivo	1-0 HT 0-0	Independiente Santa Fe
31/01/19 Colombia Primera A	Independiente Santa Fe	1-2 HT 0-0	Cucuta Deportivo
20/07/15 Colombia Primera A	Independiente Santa Fe	5-0 HT 2-0	Cucuta Deportivo
08/02/15 Colombia Primera A	Cucuta Deportivo	2-2 HT 1-1	Independiente Santa Fe

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional Medellin	16	11	2	3	32	13	35
2	America de Cali	16	10	4	2	31	12	34
3	Deportivo Cali	16	8	6	2	24	10	30
4	Atletico Bucaramanga	16	7	7	2	25	16	28
5	Independiente Santa Fe	16	8	4	4	23	17	28
6	Millonarios	16	6	8	2	24	14	26
7	Once Caldas	17	6	6	5	21	18	24
8	Independiente Medellin	16	7	2	7	23	24	23
9	Aguilas Doradas	16	5	7	4	21	20	22
10	Cucuta Deportivo	16	6	3	7	18	24	21
11	Deportes Tolima	16	5	5	6	18	19	20
12	Internacional de Bogota	17	4	8	5	21	23	20
13	Llaneros	17	6	2	9	19	23	20
14	Alianza	16	5	3	8	16	27	18
15	Deportivo Pereira	16	3	8	5	12	19	17
16	Junior	17	3	7	7	23	27	16
17	Boyaca Chico	16	4	4	8	13	26	16
18	Jaguares de Cordoba	16	3	4	9	17	29	13
19	Fortaleza CEIF	16	1	9	6	17	24	12
20	Deportivo Pasto	16	3	3	10	11	24	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cucuta Deportivo	Independiente Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional Medellin	1-0 W	0-2 L
Deportivo Pereira	4-0 W	2-1 W
Llaneros	2-1 W	0-1 L
Deportivo Cali	0-3 L	0-1 L
Deportes Tolima	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cucuta Deportivo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cucuta Deportivo

LDLLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A	0-2	0-2	13	5	L
25/10	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
21/10	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
12/10	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
04/10	Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A	3-0	4-0	6	10	W
27/09	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	2-0	2-1	2	8	W
20/09	Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-3	1	5	L
14/09	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-2	7	2	L
06/09	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	2-1	2-2	2	13	D
01/09	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-2	2	7	L

Independiente Santa Fe

DWWLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-2	0-2	3	7	L
27/10	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
22/10	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
19/10	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
06/10	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	5	9	W
29/09	Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A	1-1	2-1	2	11	W
23/09	Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
19/09	Alianza Colombia Primera A	2-0	4-1	6	5	W
12/09	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/09	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	2-0	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cucuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Independiente Santa Fe win (38%). Probabilities: Cucuta Deportivo 34%, draw 28%, Independiente Santa Fe 38%.

How many goals are expected in Cucuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Cucuta Deportivo 1.34 · Independiente Santa Fe 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cucuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.