Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 08/11, 18:00

Prediction: Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas

Team pages: Leones de Rosario · Sportivo Barracas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Leones de Rosario1.37

Sportivo Barracas0.93

1X2

46% 29% 24%

Leones de Rosario Draw Sportivo Barracas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Leones de Rosario 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDLWWLWL

Sportivo Barracas 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLDDDW

Head-to-head

Leones de Rosario 2–1 Sportivo Barracas (3 last)

Sportivo Barracas4-1Leones de Rosario
Sportivo Barracas0-2Leones de Rosario
Leones de Rosario2-0Sportivo Barracas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leones de Rosario 1523 · Sportivo Barracas 1476

	Leones de Rosario	Draw	Sportivo Barracas
Our model	46%	30%	24%
Market	47%	29%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leones de Rosario (rating 1523 vs 1476).
H2H favours Leones de Rosario: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leones de Rosario	Sportivo Barracas
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3	2.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.4	4.4 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.10

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +18’	1.91	3.10	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leones de Rosario 2–0–1 Sportivo Barracas

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/11/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	4-1 HT 2-1	Leones de Rosario
05/10/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	0-2 HT 0-1	Leones de Rosario
06/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Leones de Rosario	2-0 HT 0-0	Sportivo Barracas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	32	19	7	6	46	22	64
2	Canuelas FC	32	17	10	5	43	22	61
3	Deportivo Espanol	32	12	16	4	26	16	52
4	Leones de Rosario	32	13	12	7	31	25	51
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	32	13	10	9	32	23	49
6	General Lamadrid	32	9	14	9	23	27	41
7	Sportivo Barracas	32	11	7	14	32	32	40
8	El Porvenir	32	8	16	8	28	32	40
9	Central Ballester	32	10	8	14	29	34	38
10	CA Atlas	32	9	10	13	24	29	37
11	CA Claypole	32	9	9	14	27	40	36
12	Yupanqui	32	8	11	13	33	36	35
13	Fenix	32	8	10	14	24	32	34
14	Deportivo Muniz	32	6	11	15	23	38	29

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leones de Rosario	Sportivo Barracas
General Lamadrid	1-1 D	0-0 D
CA Atlas	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Leones de Rosario (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leones de Rosario

WWDDLWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-4	2	9	L
26/10	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
17/10	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	2	11	L
12/10	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
05/10	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
28/09	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
20/09	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
12/09	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
04/09	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
31/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	6	W

Sportivo Barracas

LWLLDLDDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	4-1	4	9	W
26/10	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
19/10	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
12/10	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
05/10	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
27/09	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
21/09	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
13/09	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
07/09	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leones de Rosario win (46%). Probabilities: Leones de Rosario 46%, draw 29%, Sportivo Barracas 24%.

How many goals are expected in Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Leones de Rosario 1.37 · Sportivo Barracas 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.