Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 08/11, 19:00

Prediction: Deportivo Espanol vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Team pages: Deportivo Espanol · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.84Total

Deportivo Espanol0.99

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.85

1X2

37% 34% 29%

Deportivo Espanol Draw Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Espanol 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

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Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Deportivo Espanol 1–2–0 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn (3 last)

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1-1Deportivo Espanol
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1-1Deportivo Espanol
Deportivo Espanol1-0Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Espanol 1572 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1520

	Deportivo Espanol	Draw	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Our model	36%	35%	29%
Market	37%	33%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Espanol (rating 1572 vs 1520).
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Espanol	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.3	1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.4	1.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	6.1 / 1.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X2.75

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.08

2 (+0.25)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.85

Under 1.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:19 +13’	2.40	2.75	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Espanol 1–2–0 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/10/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	1-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Espanol
06/10/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	1-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Espanol
30/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	1-0 HT 0-0	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	32	19	7	6	46	22	64
2	Canuelas FC	32	17	10	5	43	22	61
3	Deportivo Espanol	32	12	16	4	26	16	52
4	Leones de Rosario	32	13	12	7	31	25	51
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	32	13	10	9	32	23	49
6	General Lamadrid	32	9	14	9	23	27	41
7	Sportivo Barracas	32	11	7	14	32	32	40
8	El Porvenir	32	8	16	8	28	32	40
9	Central Ballester	32	10	8	14	29	34	38
10	CA Atlas	32	9	10	13	24	29	37
11	CA Claypole	32	9	9	14	27	40	36
12	Yupanqui	32	8	11	13	33	36	35
13	Fenix	32	8	10	14	24	32	34
14	Deportivo Muniz	32	6	11	15	23	38	29

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Espanol

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	3	10	D
25/10	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
17/10	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
12/10	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
06/10	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
26/09	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
21/09	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
11/09	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
06/09	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
31/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	2	W

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	8	10	D
25/10	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	1	11	W
17/10	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	8	D
12/10	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-1	8	7	W
04/10	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	10	D
26/09	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
20/09	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
12/09	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
06/09	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
30/08	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Espanol vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Espanol win (37%). Probabilities: Deportivo Espanol 37%, draw 34%, Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 29%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Espanol vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?

The model expects 1.84 goals (Deportivo Espanol 0.99 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Espanol vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.