Football · Thailand Division 3 · 31/10, 09:30

Prediction: Pluak Daeng United vs BFB Pattaya City

Team pages: Pluak Daeng United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Pluak Daeng United1.98

BFB Pattaya City1.5

1X2

48% 24% 28%

Pluak Daeng United Draw BFB Pattaya City

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Pluak Daeng United 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLDWLWLW

BFB Pattaya City 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDLWWW

Head-to-head

Pluak Daeng United 1–2–3 BFB Pattaya City (6 last)

BFB Pattaya City2-1Pluak Daeng United
Pluak Daeng United0-1BFB Pattaya City
BFB Pattaya City3-3Pluak Daeng United
Pluak Daeng United0-1BFB Pattaya City
Pluak Daeng United4-2BFB Pattaya City
BFB Pattaya City0-0Pluak Daeng United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pluak Daeng United 1495 · BFB Pattaya City 1548

	Pluak Daeng United	Draw	BFB Pattaya City
Our model	48%	24%	28%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BFB Pattaya City (rating 1495 vs 1548).
H2H favours BFB Pattaya City: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pluak Daeng United	BFB Pattaya City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.1	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:12 +8’	1.90	3.60	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pluak Daeng United 1–2–3 BFB Pattaya City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Thailand Division 3	BFB Pattaya City	2-1 HT 1-1	Pluak Daeng United
25/10/25 Thailand Division 3	Pluak Daeng United	0-1 HT 0-1	BFB Pattaya City
16/02/25 Thailand Division 3	BFB Pattaya City	3-3 HT 1-0	Pluak Daeng United
20/10/24 Thailand Division 3	Pluak Daeng United	0-1 HT 0-0	BFB Pattaya City
03/02/24 Thailand Division 3	Pluak Daeng United	4-2 HT 4-2	BFB Pattaya City
05/11/23 Thailand Division 3	BFB Pattaya City	0-0 HT 0-0	Pluak Daeng United

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pluak Daeng United	BFB Pattaya City
Banbueng FC	4-2 W	2-0 W
Royal Navy	2-3 L	2-1 W
Marines FC Sattahip	2-1 W	2-2 D
Customs United	3-3 D	0-2 L
Fleet FC	1-3 L	0-4 L
Chachoengsao FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pluak Daeng United (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pluak Daeng United

DLLLDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Banbueng FC Thailand Division 3	2-0	4-2	5	6	W
11/10	Royal Navy Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
04/10	Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3	0-1	2-1	6	8	W
15/03	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
08/03	Padriew City Thailand Division 3	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
28/02	Customs United Thailand Division 3	1-2	3-3	3	5	D
22/02	Royal Navy Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
14/02	BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
01/02	Fleet FC Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-3	1	4	L
18/01	Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-1	8	3	D

BFB Pattaya City

WLLWLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	MNK SC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
03/10	Banbueng FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	6	8	W
19/09	Royal Navy Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
22/03	Fleet FC Thailand Division 3	0-3	0-4	3	1	L
08/03	Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3	0-2	2-2	3	5	D
21/02	ACDC FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-3	4	5	L
14/02	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
10/02	Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-1	3	9	L
11/01	Customs United Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
23/11	Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pluak Daeng United vs BFB Pattaya City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pluak Daeng United win (48%). Probabilities: Pluak Daeng United 48%, draw 24%, BFB Pattaya City 28%.

How many goals are expected in Pluak Daeng United vs BFB Pattaya City?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Pluak Daeng United 1.98 · BFB Pattaya City 1.5), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pluak Daeng United vs BFB Pattaya City?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.