Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 04/11, 20:30
Prediction: Hibernian (W) vs Celtic (W)
Team pages: Hibernian (W) · Celtic (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Hibernian (W)1.74
Celtic (W)1.53
1X2
Hibernian (W)
Draw
Celtic (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Hibernian (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Celtic (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hibernian (W)
1–2–3
Celtic (W)
(6 last)
- Celtic (W)2-0Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)1-0Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)1-1Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)2-3Celtic (W)
- Hibernian (W)1-2Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)1-1Hibernian (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hibernian (W) 1562 · Celtic (W) 1552
| Hibernian (W) | Draw | Celtic (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 27% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Celtic (W): 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hibernian (W) | Celtic (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.3 | 2.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.4 | 2.8 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hibernian (W) 1–2–3 Celtic (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Hibernian (W) |
| 24/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Celtic (W) |
| 15/03/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Hibernian (W) |
| 11/01/26 Scotland Women FA Cup | Hibernian (W) | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Celtic (W) |
| 21/12/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Celtic (W) |
| 21/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Hibernian (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 30 |
| 2 | Hearts (W) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Celtic (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | Glasgow City (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Hibernian (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 16 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 7 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 7 |
| 9 | Montrose LFC (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | Aberdeen (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 29 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hibernian (W) | Celtic (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Spartans (W) | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Rangers (W) | 2-4 L | 2-5 L |
| Hearts (W) | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Aberdeen (W) | 2-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Montrose LFC (W) | 6-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Glasgow City (W) | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Partick Thistle (W) | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Motherwell (W) | 7-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hibernian (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hibernian (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 20/09 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Celtic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hibernian (W) vs Celtic (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hibernian (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Hibernian (W) 41%, draw 26%, Celtic (W) 33%.
How many goals are expected in Hibernian (W) vs Celtic (W)?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Hibernian (W) 1.74 · Celtic (W) 1.53), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hibernian (W) vs Celtic (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.