Football · South Africa National Div 2 · 30/10, 13:00

Prediction: Dube Continental FC vs Jomo Cosmos

Team pages: Dube Continental FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Dube Continental FC1.38

Jomo Cosmos1.37

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Dube Continental FC Draw Jomo Cosmos

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Dube Continental FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Jomo Cosmos 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dube Continental FC 0–1–1 Jomo Cosmos (2 last)

Jomo Cosmos1-0Dube Continental FC
Dube Continental FC1-1Jomo Cosmos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dube Continental FC 1473 · Jomo Cosmos 1517

	Dube Continental FC	Draw	Jomo Cosmos
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	37%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jomo Cosmos (rating 1473 vs 1517).
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dube Continental FC	Jomo Cosmos
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.2 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.25

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:48 +27’	2.45	3.25	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dube Continental FC 0–1–1 Jomo Cosmos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/03/26 South Africa National Div 2	Jomo Cosmos	1-0 HT 0-0	Dube Continental FC
13/11/24 South Africa National Div 2	Dube Continental FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Jomo Cosmos

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dube Continental FC	Jomo Cosmos
Mabopane JM FC	0-2 L	1-2 L
TUT FC	1-1 D	3-2 W
Leruma United	1-1 D	3-1 W
Tshwane South College FC	2-0 W	2-1 W
JBM FC	3-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Jomo Cosmos (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dube Continental FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Mabopane JM FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
16/10	Orlando Pirates B FC South Africa National Div 2	1-0	2-2	9	2	D
27/03	TUT FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
24/03	Wits University South Africa National Div 2	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
20/03	Free Agents FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
17/03	Jomo Cosmos South Africa National Div 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
13/03	Leruma United South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-1	7	0	D
20/02	Tshwane South College FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
14/02	University of Johannesburg FC South Africa National Div 2	3-0	3-0	1	9	W
30/01	JBM FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	3-2	2	3	W

Jomo Cosmos

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Leruma United South Africa National Div 2	2-1	3-1	6	5	W
24/03	Tshwane South College FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
17/03	Dube Continental FC South Africa National Div 2	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
13/03	JBM FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	2-2	1	2	D
07/03	NB La Masia FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
04/03	Mabopane JM FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
01/03	Young Pirates FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
22/02	Eersterust Rams FC South Africa National Div 2	1-0	1-2	0	2	L
14/02	Tembisa Hollywood Thunder FC South Africa National Div 2	1-1	2-2	0	3	D
07/02	TUT FC South Africa National Div 2	0-1	3-2	5	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dube Continental FC vs Jomo Cosmos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dube Continental FC win (36%). Probabilities: Dube Continental FC 36%, draw 28%, Jomo Cosmos 36%.

How many goals are expected in Dube Continental FC vs Jomo Cosmos?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Dube Continental FC 1.38 · Jomo Cosmos 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dube Continental FC vs Jomo Cosmos?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.