Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 08/11, 23:00

Prediction: CD Lara vs Zamora II

Team pages: CD Lara · Zamora II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

CD Lara2.26

Zamora II1

1X2

65% 20% 15%

CD Lara Draw Zamora II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Lara 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Zamora II 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CD Lara 3–1 Zamora II (4 last)

CD Lara2-0Zamora II
Zamora II0-2CD Lara
CD Lara4-1Zamora II
Zamora II3-1CD Lara

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Lara 1585 · Zamora II 1507

	CD Lara	Draw	Zamora II
Our model	65%	21%	14%
Market	65%	20%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Lara (rating 1585 vs 1507).
H2H favours CD Lara: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Lara	Zamora II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.5	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.9	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.50

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:02 +2’	1.36	4.50	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Lara 3–0–1 Zamora II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/10/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	CD Lara	2-0 HT 0-0	Zamora II
29/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	0-2 HT 0-0	CD Lara
24/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	CD Lara	4-1 HT 1-0	Zamora II
29/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	3-1 HT 0-0	CD Lara

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	32	21	7	4	56	24	70
2	Barquisimeto	32	16	8	8	58	36	56
3	Yaracuyanos	32	16	7	9	50	31	55
4	Urena SC	32	12	12	8	46	43	48
5	Zamora II	32	13	7	12	55	49	46
6	Atletico El Vigia	32	12	8	12	43	52	44
7	Academia Puerto Cabello II	32	9	7	16	39	52	34
8	Atletico Barinas	32	9	5	18	50	63	32
9	Real Frontera	32	4	3	25	27	74	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Lara	Zamora II
Urena SC	2-2 D	3-0 W
Barquisimeto	1-0 W	0-2 L
Academia Puerto Cabello II	1-2 L	5-1 W
Real Frontera	4-0 W	4-2 W
Yaracuyanos	1-0 W	1-4 L
Atletico El Vigia	3-0 W	3-4 L
Atletico Barinas	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Lara (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Lara

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-2	5	8	D
19/10	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	5	8	W
11/10	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
04/10	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-2	6	7	L
01/10	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	4-0	6	6	W
19/09	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
17/09	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/09	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
06/09	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	5	11	W
03/09	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	2	6	W

Zamora II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
25/10	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	5-1	3	5	W
18/10	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	4-2	4	4	W
11/10	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
04/10	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-4	4	3	L
30/09	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	3-4	6	7	L
26/09	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
20/09	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	5	6	W
16/09	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
06/09	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	3-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Lara vs Zamora II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Lara win (65%). Probabilities: CD Lara 65%, draw 20%, Zamora II 15%.

How many goals are expected in CD Lara vs Zamora II?

The model expects 3.26 goals (CD Lara 2.26 · Zamora II 1), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Lara vs Zamora II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.