Football · Egypt Division 2 · 12/11, 13:30

Prediction: Delta United vs El Seka El Hadid

Team pages: Delta United · El Seka El Hadid

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Delta United1.16

El Seka El Hadid1.78

1X2

23% 27% 50%

Delta United Draw El Seka El Hadid

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Delta United 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLDD

El Seka El Hadid 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWDDWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Delta United 1424 · El Seka El Hadid 1548

	Delta United	Draw	El Seka El Hadid
Our model	24%	25%	51%
Market	22%	29%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours El Seka El Hadid (rating 1424 vs 1548).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Delta United	El Seka El Hadid
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.9	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 3.2	2.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.10

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:41 +21’	4.10	3.10	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Egypt Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Masar	11	7	1	3	22	12	22
2	Pharco FC	11	7	1	3	18	11	22
3	Kahraba Ismailia	11	6	3	2	19	10	21
4	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	11	6	3	2	12	6	21
5	Haras El Hedoud	11	5	5	1	14	7	20
6	WE SC	11	6	1	4	15	11	19
7	El Seka El Hadid	11	5	3	3	19	15	18
8	Al Nasr Cairo	11	4	5	2	15	10	17
9	Tersana SC	11	4	5	2	13	9	17
10	El Mansoura	11	6	2	3	15	12	17
11	Baladiyet El Mahallah	11	4	3	4	10	9	15
12	Ismaily SC	11	3	4	4	13	15	13
13	Team FC Cairo	11	3	3	5	11	16	12
14	El Entag El Harby	11	2	5	4	17	16	11
15	El Daklyeh	11	2	5	4	9	15	11
16	Tanta	11	2	4	5	7	13	10
17	La Viena FC	11	1	5	5	6	12	8
18	Proxy SC	11	2	2	7	8	17	8
19	Dayrout	11	1	4	6	5	21	7
20	Delta United	11	0	4	7	8	19	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Delta United	El Seka El Hadid
Team FC Cairo	1-1 D	2-1 W
Tanta	2-2 D	2-0 W
Dayrout	0-1 L	5-1 W
Ismaily SC	2-3 L	0-0 D
Haras El Hedoud	1-2 L	1-1 D
El Entag El Harby	1-1 D	5-4 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: El Seka El Hadid (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Delta United

DLLLLLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Team FC Cairo Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-1	0	1	D
22/10	Tanta Egypt Division 2	0-0	2-2	3	5	D
16/10	Tersana SC Egypt Division 2	0-2	0-4	5	2	L
08/10	Dayrout Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
02/10	Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 2	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
25/09	Ismaily SC Egypt Division 2	1-1	2-3	3	6	L
18/09	Pharco FC Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
10/09	Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
04/09	Baladiyet El Mahallah Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
27/08	El Entag El Harby Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

El Seka El Hadid

WDLWLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Tanta Egypt Division 2	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
22/10	Dayrout Egypt Division 2	3-1	5-1	7	3	W
16/10	Ismaily SC Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
08/10	Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 2	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
01/10	El Entag El Harby Egypt Division 2	3-2	5-4	7	7	W
24/09	Al Nasr Cairo Egypt Division 2	1-2	1-3	7	3	L
18/09	WE SC Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
10/09	FC Masar Egypt Division 2	1-1	1-3	2	1	L
03/09	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
27/08	Team FC Cairo Egypt Division 2	1-0	2-1	0	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Delta United vs El Seka El Hadid?

According to our model, the most likely result is an El Seka El Hadid win (50%). Probabilities: Delta United 23%, draw 27%, El Seka El Hadid 50%.

How many goals are expected in Delta United vs El Seka El Hadid?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Delta United 1.16 · El Seka El Hadid 1.78), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Delta United vs El Seka El Hadid?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.