Football · Egypt Division 2 · 12/11, 13:30

Prediction: Al Nasr Cairo vs Pharco FC

Team pages: Al Nasr Cairo · Pharco FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Al Nasr Cairo1.24

Pharco FC1.24

1X2

35% 31% 35%

Al Nasr Cairo Draw Pharco FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Nasr Cairo 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWLWWDWDL

Pharco FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLWWLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Nasr Cairo 1547 · Pharco FC 1541

	Al Nasr Cairo	Draw	Pharco FC
Our model	35%	30%	35%
Market	34%	31%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Nasr Cairo	Pharco FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/56/22%	44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	2.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X2.88

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
11:34 +28’	2.63	2.88	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Egypt Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Masar	11	7	1	3	22	12	22
2	Pharco FC	11	7	1	3	18	11	22
3	Kahraba Ismailia	11	6	3	2	19	10	21
4	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	11	6	3	2	12	6	21
5	Haras El Hedoud	11	5	5	1	14	7	20
6	WE SC	11	6	1	4	15	11	19
7	El Seka El Hadid	11	5	3	3	19	15	18
8	Al Nasr Cairo	11	4	5	2	15	10	17
9	Tersana SC	11	4	5	2	13	9	17
10	El Mansoura	11	6	2	3	15	12	17
11	Baladiyet El Mahallah	11	4	3	4	10	9	15
12	Ismaily SC	11	3	4	4	13	15	13
13	Team FC Cairo	11	3	3	5	11	16	12
14	El Entag El Harby	11	2	5	4	17	16	11
15	El Daklyeh	11	2	5	4	9	15	11
16	Tanta	11	2	4	5	7	13	10
17	La Viena FC	11	1	5	5	6	12	8
18	Proxy SC	11	2	2	7	8	17	8
19	Dayrout	11	1	4	6	5	21	7
20	Delta United	11	0	4	7	8	19	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Nasr Cairo	Pharco FC
Baladiyet El Mahallah	0-1 L	2-1 W
El Daklyeh	2-2 D	0-0 D
Proxy SC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pharco FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Nasr Cairo

DDWLWWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Baladiyet El Mahallah Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
22/10	El Daklyeh Egypt Division 2	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
15/10	El Mansoura Egypt Division 2	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/10	Proxy SC Egypt Division 2	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
01/10	La Viena FC Egypt Division 2	0-0	3-1	5	4	W
24/09	El Seka El Hadid Egypt Division 2	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
17/09	Tanta Egypt Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
10/09	Dayrout Egypt Division 2	0-0	2-0	12	3	W
04/09	Ismaily SC Egypt Division 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

Pharco FC

WDWWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	WE SC Egypt Division 2	1-0	4-1	4	3	W
23/10	FC Masar Egypt Division 2	0-3	2-4	10	2	L
16/10	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
09/10	Team FC Cairo Egypt Division 2	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
01/10	Tersana SC Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
24/09	Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 2	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
18/09	Delta United Egypt Division 2	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
10/09	Baladiyet El Mahallah Egypt Division 2	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
04/09	El Daklyeh Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
21/08	Proxy SC Egypt Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Nasr Cairo vs Pharco FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Nasr Cairo win (35%). Probabilities: Al Nasr Cairo 35%, draw 31%, Pharco FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Al Nasr Cairo vs Pharco FC?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Al Nasr Cairo 1.24 · Pharco FC 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Nasr Cairo vs Pharco FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.