Prediction: Al Sadd vs Al-Shamal SC
Team pages: Al Sadd · Al-Shamal SC
- Al-Shamal SC4-6Al Sadd
- Al Sadd3-2Al-Shamal SC
- Al-Shamal SC0-3Al Sadd
- Al Sadd1-0Al-Shamal SC
- Al-Shamal SC2-1Al Sadd
- Al-Shamal SC0-4Al Sadd
| Al Sadd | Draw | Al-Shamal SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| Market | 63% | 19% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Sadd (rating 1561 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Al Sadd: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Sadd | Al-Shamal SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6 | 2.6 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Sadd 5–0–1 Al-Shamal SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Qatar Emir Cup | Al-Shamal SC | 4-6 HT 1-4 | Al Sadd |
| 27/04/26 Qatar Stars League | Al Sadd | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Al-Shamal SC |
| 29/12/25 Qatar Stars League | Al-Shamal SC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Al Sadd |
| 12/01/25 Qatar Stars League | Al Sadd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al-Shamal SC |
| 10/08/24 Qatar Stars League | Al-Shamal SC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Al Sadd |
| 24/04/24 Qatar Stars League | Al-Shamal SC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Al Sadd |
Standings · Qatar Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Rayyan SC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 2 | Al Sadd | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | 15 |
| 3 | Al Duhail | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Al-Arabi Doha | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Al-Wakrah SC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 6 | Al-Shamal SC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 7 | Al-Ahli Doha | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Shahaniya SC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 7 |
| 9 | Lusail | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | Al Gharafa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 11 | Qatar SC Doha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya SC | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Sadd | Al-Shamal SC |
|---|---|---|
| Al-Shahaniya SC | 4-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Al Duhail | 2-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Al-Arabi Doha | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Al Gharafa | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Qatar SC Doha | 6-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Sadd (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Sadd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | Al Duhail Qatar Stars League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/10 | Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 10/09 | Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League |
2-1 | 6-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League |
3-0 | 6-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/04 | Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Al-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
Al-Shamal SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Lusail Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 08/10 | Al Duhail Qatar Stars League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/09 | Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Stars League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 04/09 | Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/08 | Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 27/04 | Al Sadd Qatar Stars League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/04 | Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League |
0-2 | 3-0 | 10 | 9 | W |
| 08/04 | Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Sadd vs Al-Shamal SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Sadd win (63%). Probabilities: Al Sadd 63%, draw 19%, Al-Shamal SC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Al Sadd vs Al-Shamal SC?
The model expects 4.28 goals (Al Sadd 2.77 · Al-Shamal SC 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Sadd vs Al-Shamal SC?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.