Prediction: Northampton (W) vs Leafield Athletic (W)

Team pages: Northampton (W) · Leafield Athletic (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Northampton (W)1.23
Leafield Athletic (W)2.02
1X2
22% 23% 55%
Northampton (W) Draw Leafield Athletic (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Northampton (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
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Leafield Athletic (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Northampton (W) 0–1 Leafield Athletic (W) (1 last)
  • Leafield Athletic (W)1-0Northampton (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Northampton (W) 1467 · Leafield Athletic (W) 1564
Northampton (W)DrawLeafield Athletic (W)
Our model22%23%55%
Market22%22%55%
Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leafield Athletic (W) (rating 1467 vs 1564).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Northampton (W)Leafield Athletic (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 12.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.11.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 2.72.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 0.11.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Northampton (W) 0–0–1 Leafield Athletic (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/01/26
England National League Division 1 Women
Leafield Athletic (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Northampton (W)

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNorthampton (W)Leafield Athletic (W)
Barnsley FC (W) 0-1 L 5-3 W
Sutton Coldfield (W) 0-1 L 2-0 W
Notts County (W) 2-1 W 4-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Leafield Athletic (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Northampton (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Sheffield FC (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
2-0 5-1 90 W
26/04 Barnsley FC (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 12 L
12/04 Worcester City (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
0-0 3-1 12 W
05/04 Sutton Coldfield (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 41 L
22/03 Notts County (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
0-0 2-1 33 W
08/03 Sheffield FC (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 21 L
01/03 Sutton Coldfield (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 15 L
18/01 Leafield Athletic (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
0-1 0-1 32 L
11/01 Worcester City (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
1-0 1-2 14 L
30/11 Barnsley FC (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
0-0 1-0 23 W

Leafield Athletic (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Kidderminster (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
1-0 4-0 51 W
20/09 Wythenshawe FC (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
1-3 4-4 31 D
26/04 Boldmere St Michaels (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
1-1 1-3 30 L
05/04 Kidderminster (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
0-1 2-1 81 W
29/03 Notts County (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
3-1 4-2 52 W
08/03 Sutton Coldfield (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
2-0 2-0 61 W
25/01 Barnsley FC (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
4-1 5-3 63 W
18/01 Northampton (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
1-0 1-0 72 W
30/11 Boldmere St Michaels (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
1-1 1-2 31 L
16/11 Notts County (W)
England National League Division 1 Women
0-0 1-0 60 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Northampton (W) vs Leafield Athletic (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Leafield Athletic (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Northampton (W) 22%, draw 23%, Leafield Athletic (W) 55%.

How many goals are expected in Northampton (W) vs Leafield Athletic (W)?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Northampton (W) 1.23 · Leafield Athletic (W) 2.02), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Northampton (W) vs Leafield Athletic (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.