Football · Albania Championship · 28/10, 17:00

Prediction: KF Tirana vs FC Dinamo City

Team pages: KF Tirana · FC Dinamo City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

KF Tirana1.45

FC Dinamo City1.3

1X2

39% 28% 32%

KF Tirana Draw FC Dinamo City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Tirana 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Dinamo City 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWLLW

Head-to-head

KF Tirana 0–2–4 FC Dinamo City (6 last)

FC Dinamo City1-1KF Tirana
FC Dinamo City2-0KF Tirana
KF Tirana0-2FC Dinamo City
KF Tirana1-1FC Dinamo City
FC Dinamo City6-2KF Tirana
KF Tirana1-2FC Dinamo City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Tirana 1501 · FC Dinamo City 1519

	KF Tirana	Draw	FC Dinamo City
Our model	40%	28%	33%
Market	39%	29%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Dinamo City: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Tirana	FC Dinamo City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	1.3 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	5.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.10

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:02 +6’	2.30	3.10	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Tirana 0–2–4 FC Dinamo City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Albania Championship	FC Dinamo City	1-1 HT 0-0	KF Tirana
04/03/26 Albania Cup	FC Dinamo City	2-0 HT 1-0	KF Tirana
11/02/26 Albania Cup	KF Tirana	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Dinamo City
07/02/26 Albania Championship	KF Tirana	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Dinamo City
03/12/25 Albania Championship	FC Dinamo City	6-2 HT 3-1	KF Tirana
27/09/25 Albania Championship	KF Tirana	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Dinamo City

Standings · Albania Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Teuta Durres	8	6	2	0	14	2	20
2	FK Egnatia	8	6	0	2	17	8	18
3	FC Dinamo City	8	5	0	3	12	9	15
4	KF Tirana	8	3	2	3	12	12	11
5	Laci	8	3	1	4	8	11	10
6	Skenderbeu Korce	8	2	3	3	9	10	9
7	AF Elbasani	8	1	5	2	9	10	8
8	Vllaznia Shkoder	8	2	2	4	9	13	8
9	FK Vora	8	2	2	4	8	13	8
10	Partizani Tirana	8	1	1	6	9	19	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Tirana	FC Dinamo City
Vllaznia Shkoder	0-2 L	0-1 L
Laci	1-0 W	3-1 W
Partizani Tirana	3-1 W	4-2 W
AF Elbasani	2-2 D	2-1 W
Skenderbeu Korce	1-1 D	1-0 W
FK Vora	4-0 W	0-1 L
Teuta Durres	1-3 L	0-2 L
FK Egnatia	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Dinamo City (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Tirana

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
17/10	Laci Albania Championship	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
11/10	Partizani Tirana Albania Championship	1-1	3-1	7	5	W
20/09	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
11/09	Skenderbeu Korce Albania Championship	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
06/09	FK Vora Albania Championship	2-0	4-0	5	4	W
30/08	Teuta Durres Albania Championship	1-0	1-3	3	5	L
23/08	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	0-3	0-3	1	3	L
10/05	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
06/05	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	1-0	1-0	4	6	W

FC Dinamo City

LLLWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	2-1	2-1	0	4	W
16/10	Teuta Durres Albania Championship	0-1	0-2	1	8	L
11/10	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	Laci Albania Championship	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Partizani Tirana Albania Championship	3-1	4-2	3	5	W
06/09	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	1-1	2-1	9	4	W
31/08	Skenderbeu Korce Albania Championship	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
23/08	FK Vora Albania Championship	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
31/05	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	0-2	0-2	2	8	L
24/05	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	0-3	0-3	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Tirana vs FC Dinamo City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KF Tirana win (39%). Probabilities: KF Tirana 39%, draw 28%, FC Dinamo City 32%.

How many goals are expected in KF Tirana vs FC Dinamo City?

The model expects 2.75 goals (KF Tirana 1.45 · FC Dinamo City 1.3), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Tirana vs FC Dinamo City?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.