Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 07/11, 18:30

Prediction: Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon Buraidah

Team pages: Al Ahli Jeddah · Al Taawon Buraidah

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Al Ahli Jeddah2.21

Al Taawon Buraidah0.99

1X2

64% 21% 15%

Al Ahli Jeddah Draw Al Taawon Buraidah

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Ahli Jeddah 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWWWL

Al Taawon Buraidah 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLDLLD

Head-to-head

Al Ahli Jeddah 6–0 Al Taawon Buraidah (6 last)

Al Taawon Buraidah1-2Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Ahli Jeddah2-1Al Taawon Buraidah
Al Ahli Jeddah2-0Al Taawon Buraidah
Al Taawon Buraidah2-4Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Taawon Buraidah0-1Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Ahli Jeddah3-2Al Taawon Buraidah

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ahli Jeddah (rating 1575 vs 1447).
H2H favours Al Ahli Jeddah: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Ahli Jeddah	Al Taawon Buraidah
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.9	0.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.1	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.6	2.1 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.49 → 1.43▼	Pinn 1.43
X	4.65 → 4.87▲	Pinn 4.87
2	5.43 → 5.93▲	Pinn 5.93

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
23:40 +50’	1.49	4.65	5.43
22:04 +15’	1.43▼	4.87▲	5.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ahli Jeddah 6–0–0 Al Taawon Buraidah

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Taawon Buraidah	1-2 HT 0-1	Al Ahli Jeddah
14/01/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	2-1 HT 0-1	Al Taawon Buraidah
07/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	2-0 HT 2-0	Al Taawon Buraidah
07/12/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Taawon Buraidah	2-4 HT 2-1	Al Ahli Jeddah
09/03/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Taawon Buraidah	0-1 HT 0-0	Al Ahli Jeddah
16/09/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	3-2 HT 2-1	Al Taawon Buraidah

Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Hilal Riyadh	11	10	0	1	32	9	30
2	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	12	9	1	2	32	12	28
3	Al-Nassr Riyadh	11	9	1	1	28	11	28
4	Al Ittihad Jeddah	11	7	3	1	21	11	24
5	Neom SC	12	7	1	4	18	10	22
6	Al Ahli Jeddah	11	7	0	4	28	19	21
7	Al Ittifaq Dammam	12	5	4	3	18	17	19
8	Al Draih	12	4	3	5	10	13	15
9	Al Khaleej Saihat	12	3	6	3	14	19	15
10	Al Shabab Riyadh	11	3	5	3	20	15	14
11	Al Kholood	11	3	3	5	17	26	12
12	Al Riyadh	11	3	3	5	11	25	12
13	Al Fayha	12	2	5	5	16	20	11
14	Al Hazm	12	2	4	6	14	20	10
15	Al Faisaly Harmah	12	2	4	6	13	24	10
16	Al Fateh SC	12	1	3	8	10	25	6
17	Al Taawon Buraidah	12	0	5	7	6	20	5
18	Abha	11	0	3	8	7	19	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Ahli Jeddah	Al Taawon Buraidah
Al Shabab Riyadh	1-6 L	0-3 L
Al Fayha	3-2 W	0-0 D
Al Fateh SC	4-0 W	0-0 D
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	2-3 L	0-1 L
Al Riyadh	5-0 W	1-2 L
Al Hilal Riyadh	0-3 L	0-6 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Al Ahli Jeddah (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Ahli Jeddah

WLLWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-3	1-6	3	5	L
23/10	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
19/10	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	3-2	1	1	W
09/10	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	4-0	4	5	W
11/09	Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-1	3-1	5	1	W
08/09	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-3	2-3	5	6	L
04/09	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
01/09	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-2	0-3	4	7	L
29/08	Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
22/08	Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	4-0	2	4	W

Al Taawon Buraidah

DLDLLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
24/10	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-2	10	2	L
20/10	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
17/10	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
11/10	Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-2	0-3	4	8	L
12/09	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-3	0-6	4	2	L
08/09	Al Hazem Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
05/09	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	10	5	D
28/08	Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
25/08	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	12	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon Buraidah?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ahli Jeddah win (64%). Probabilities: Al Ahli Jeddah 64%, draw 21%, Al Taawon Buraidah 15%.

How many goals are expected in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon Buraidah?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Al Ahli Jeddah 2.21 · Al Taawon Buraidah 0.99), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon Buraidah?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.