Football · Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League · 26/10, 00:30
Prediction: SLH St Pauls Utd vs Newtown United FC
Team pages: SLH St Pauls Utd · Newtown United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
SLH St Pauls Utd1.72
Newtown United FC1.72
1X2
SLH St Pauls Utd
Draw
Newtown United FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
SLH St Pauls Utd
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Newtown United FC
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SLH St Pauls Utd
3–1–2
Newtown United FC
(6 last)
- SLH St Pauls Utd2-0Newtown United FC
- Newtown United FC3-2SLH St Pauls Utd
- Newtown United FC1-0SLH St Pauls Utd
- SLH St Pauls Utd2-0Newtown United FC
- SLH St Pauls Utd2-1Newtown United FC
- Newtown United FC1-1SLH St Pauls Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SLH St Pauls Utd 1538 · Newtown United FC 1484
| SLH St Pauls Utd | Draw | Newtown United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SLH St Pauls Utd (rating 1538 vs 1484).
- H2H favours SLH St Pauls Utd: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SLH St Pauls Utd | Newtown United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 5.5 | 3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SLH St Pauls Utd 3–1–2 Newtown United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League | SLH St Pauls Utd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Newtown United FC |
| 07/12/25 Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League | Newtown United FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | SLH St Pauls Utd |
| 20/05/24 Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League | Newtown United FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | SLH St Pauls Utd |
| 25/03/24 Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League | SLH St Pauls Utd | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Newtown United FC |
| 20/08/23 Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League | SLH St Pauls Utd | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Newtown United FC |
| 28/05/23 Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League | Newtown United FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | SLH St Pauls Utd |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SLH St Pauls Utd | Newtown United FC |
|---|---|---|
| RAMS Village Superstars | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Flow 4G Cayon Rockets | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Garden Hotspurs | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Old Road Jets | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| St. Peters FC | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Newtown United FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SLH St Pauls Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | RAMS Village Superstars Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
0-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | Flow 4G Cayon Rockets Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Garden Hotspurs Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Old Road Jets Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/04 | Old Road Jets Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | RAMS Village Superstars Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
– | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | TGE Dieppe Bay Eagles Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | St. Peters FC Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 08/03 | Sandy Point Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 01/03 | Bath United Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
Newtown United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | St. Peters FC Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | RAMS Village Superstars Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Flow 4G Cayon Rockets Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Garden Hotspurs Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Old Road Jets Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | St. Peters FC Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/05 | Old Road Jets Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 03/05 | Flow 4G Cayon Rockets Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Flow 4G Cayon Rockets Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Conaree FC Saint Kitts & Nevis Premier League |
3-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SLH St Pauls Utd vs Newtown United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SLH St Pauls Utd win (38%). Probabilities: SLH St Pauls Utd 38%, draw 25%, Newtown United FC 38%.
How many goals are expected in SLH St Pauls Utd vs Newtown United FC?
The model expects 3.45 goals (SLH St Pauls Utd 1.72 · Newtown United FC 1.72), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SLH St Pauls Utd vs Newtown United FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.