Football · South Africa League Women · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: TS Galaxy (W) vs Mamelodi Sundowns (W)

Team pages: TS Galaxy (W) · Mamelodi Sundowns (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
TS Galaxy (W)0.73
Mamelodi Sundowns (W)2.57
1X2
8% 16% 76%
TS Galaxy (W) Draw Mamelodi Sundowns (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
TS Galaxy (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLDWWLLLWW
Mamelodi Sundowns (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWWWD
Head-to-head
TS Galaxy (W) 0–5 Mamelodi Sundowns (W) (5 last)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns (W)2-0TS Galaxy (W)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns (W)4-0TS Galaxy (W)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns (W)1-0TS Galaxy (W)
  • TS Galaxy (W)3-5Mamelodi Sundowns (W)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns (W)1-0TS Galaxy (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TS Galaxy (W) 1513 · Mamelodi Sundowns (W) 1661
TS Galaxy (W)DrawMamelodi Sundowns (W)
Our model8%16%76%
Market7%16%76%
Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mamelodi Sundowns (W) (rating 1513 vs 1661).
  • H2H favours Mamelodi Sundowns (W): 5-0-0.
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TS Galaxy (W)Mamelodi Sundowns (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.73.2 / 0
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.51.1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.62.5 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 02.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · TS Galaxy (W) 0–0–5 Mamelodi Sundowns (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/07/26
South Africa League Women
Mamelodi Sundowns (W)2-0
HT 1-0
TS Galaxy (W)
07/12/25
South Africa League Women
Mamelodi Sundowns (W)4-0
HT 1-0
TS Galaxy (W)
31/08/24
South Africa League Women
Mamelodi Sundowns (W)1-0
HT 1-0
TS Galaxy (W)
09/03/24
South Africa League Women
TS Galaxy (W)3-5
HT 1-2
Mamelodi Sundowns (W)
06/12/23
South Africa League Women
Mamelodi Sundowns (W)1-0
HT 0-0
TS Galaxy (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTS Galaxy (W)Mamelodi Sundowns (W)
Richmond United (W) 3-2 W 8-0 W
Copper Belts FC (W) 1-0 W 4-0 W
UWC (W) 0-3 L 0-0 D
University of Pretoria (W) 0-3 L 3-0 W
Diepkloof FC (W) 4-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Mamelodi Sundowns (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TS Galaxy (W)

WLDWWLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Richmond United (W)
South Africa League Women
1-1 3-2 33 W
19/09 Copper Belts FC (W)
South Africa League Women
1-0 1-0 41 W
12/09 UWC (W)
South Africa League Women
0-1 0-3 63 L
06/09 University of Pretoria (W)
South Africa League Women
0-1 0-3 23 L
12/07 Mamelodi Sundowns (W)
South Africa League Women
0-1 0-2 03 L
05/07 Richmond United (W)
South Africa League Women
0-0 1-0 65 W
26/06 Diepkloof FC (W)
South Africa League Women
2-0 4-1 41 W
23/05 UWC (W)
South Africa League Women
2-0 2-2 25 D
07/12 Mamelodi Sundowns (W)
South Africa League Women
0-1 0-4 33 L
19/11 University of Pretoria (W)
South Africa League Women
0-0 2-0 63 W

Mamelodi Sundowns (W)

WWWWWWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 UWC (W)
South Africa League Women
0-0 0-0 50 D
04/10 Richmond United (W)
South Africa League Women
1-0 8-0 53 W
26/09 Copper Belts FC (W)
South Africa League Women
2-0 4-0 122 W
20/09 University of Pretoria (W)
South Africa League Women
1-0 3-0 92 W
11/09 Diepkloof FC (W)
South Africa League Women
0-0 1-0 72 W
06/09 Stellenbosch FC (W)
South Africa League Women
0-0 1-0 143 W
12/07 TS Galaxy (W)
South Africa League Women
1-0 2-0 43 W
04/07 UWC (W)
South Africa League Women
1-0 4-0 23 W
27/06 Richmond United (W)
South Africa League Women
2-0 5-0 81 W
19/06 University of Pretoria (W)
South Africa League Women
3-0 4-0 82 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TS Galaxy (W) vs Mamelodi Sundowns (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mamelodi Sundowns (W) win (76%). Probabilities: TS Galaxy (W) 8%, draw 16%, Mamelodi Sundowns (W) 76%.

How many goals are expected in TS Galaxy (W) vs Mamelodi Sundowns (W)?

The model expects 3.3 goals (TS Galaxy (W) 0.73 · Mamelodi Sundowns (W) 2.57), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TS Galaxy (W) vs Mamelodi Sundowns (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.