Football · Ethiopia Premier League Women · 25/10, 12:00
Prediction: Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) vs Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W)2.84
Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)0.84
1X2
Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W)
Draw
Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W)
5–0
Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)
(5 last)
- Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)1-3Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W)
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W)4-0Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)
- Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)0-7Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W)
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W)4-0Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)
- Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)1-3Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) 1632 · Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) 1434
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) | Draw | Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 90% | 7% | 3% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) (rating 1632 vs 1434).
- H2H favours Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W): 5-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) | Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.1 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) 5–0–0 Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Ethiopia Premier League Women | Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) |
| 04/11/25 Ethiopia Premier League Women | Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) |
| 14/07/24 Ethiopia Premier League Women | Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) | 0-7 HT 0-3 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) |
| 01/05/23 Ethiopia Premier League Women | Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) |
| 15/01/23 Ethiopia Premier League Women | Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) | Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ethio Electric FC (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Hawassa City FC (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Dire Dawa (W) | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Addis Ababa Ketema (W) | 4-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Bahir Dar Kenema FC (W) | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Mechal FC (W) | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Adama Ketema (W) | 6-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Ethio Electric FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/05 | Hawassa City FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Dire Dawa (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/04 | Addis Ababa Ketema (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/03 | Mechal FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/03 | Adama Ketema (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 15/03 | Lideta Sub City (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 10/03 | Bole Sub City (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/03 | Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Sheger Ketema (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Sidama Bunna (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Hawassa City FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Ethio Electric FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Dire Dawa (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/03 | Addis Ababa Ketema (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/03 | Mechal FC (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/03 | Adama Ketema (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 06/03 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) Ethiopia Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) vs Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) 85%, draw 10%, Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) vs Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)?
The model expects 3.68 goals (Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) 2.84 · Yirga Chefe Bunna (W) 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ethiopia Nigd Bank (W) vs Yirga Chefe Bunna (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.